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Anthony H. Cordesman

Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy

Associated Research Focus:

Energy
Middle East & North Africa
Defense Policy
Terrorism & Transnational Threats

Associated Programs:

Burke Chair in Strategy

Expertise:

Middle East military balance, weapons of mass destruction, national missile defense, critical infrastructure protection, homeland defense, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, U.S. and Middle East energy policy, Saudi Arabia

Contact:

(202) 775-7325
amausner@csis.org
Anthony H. Cordesman holds the Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at CSIS. He is also a national security analyst for ABC News. His analysis has been featured prominently during the Gulf War, Desert Fox, the conflict in Kosovo, the fighting in Afghanistan, and the Iraq War. During his time at CSIS, he has been director of the Gulf Net Assessment Project and the Gulf in Transition Study and principle investigator of the Homeland Defense Project. He also directed the Middle East Net Assessment Project and was codirector of the Strategic Energy Initiative. He has led studies on the Iraq War, Afghan conflict, armed nation building and counterinsurgency, national missile defense, asymmetric warfare and weapons of mass destruction, global energy supply, and critical infrastructure protection. He is the author of a wide range of reports on U.S. security policy, energy policy, and Middle East policy, which can be downloaded from the Burke Chair section of the CSIS Web site (www.csis.org/burke/). Cordesman formerly served as national security assistant to Senator John McCain of the Senate Armed Services Committee, as director of intelligence assessment in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, and as civilian assistant to the deputy secretary of defense. In 1974, he directed the analysis of the lessons of the October War for the secretary of defense, coordinating U.S. military, intelligence, and civilian analysis of the conflict. He has also served in other government positions, including at the Department of State, Department of Energy, and NATO International Staff. He has had numerous foreign assignments, including postings in Lebanon, Egypt, and Iran, and he has worked extensively in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf. Cordesman is the author of more than 50 books, including a four-volume series on the lessons of modern war. His most recent works include Iraq’s Insurgency and the Road to Civil Conflict (Praeger, 2007), Lessons of the 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah War (CSIS, 2007), Iran’s Military Forces and Warfighting Capabilities (Praeger/CSIS, 2007), Iraqi Force Development (CSIS, 2007), Salvaging American Defense (Praeger/CSIS, 2007), and Chinese Military Modernization (CSIS, 2007). Cordesman has been awarded the Department of Defense Distinguished Service Medal. He is a former adjunct professor of national security studies at Georgetown University and has twice been a fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars at the Smithsonian Institution.

Full list of Anthony Cordesman's publications

CSIS Publications by Anthony H. Cordesman


The Afghan-Pakistan War: A Status Report 07/07/2008
A Poisoned Chalice? The Crisis in National Security Planning, Programming, and Budgeting 06/30/2008
Conventional Armed Forces in the Gulf 06/24/2008
Quietism and the U.S. Postion in Iraq 06/19/2008
The Israeli and Syrian Conventional Military Balance 06/11/2008
Israeli and Syrian Weapons of Mass Destruction 06/03/2008
IRAQI FORCE DEVELOPMENT 2008 05/28/2008
The Presidential Campaign, the Iraq and Afghan-Pakistan Wars, and the Coming Year of Uncertainty 05/21/2008
The Afghan-Pakistan War: A Status Report 05/13/2008
The Iraq War: Key Trends and Developments 05/06/2008
COVERING US MILITARY OPTIONS FOR DEALING WITH IRAN 04/30/2008
A Poisoned Chalice? The Crisis in National Security Planning, Programming, and Budgeting 04/23/2008
The Shi’ite Gamble: Rolling the Dice for Iraq’s Future 04/21/2008
Shaping a "Conditions-Based Strategy and Plan for Staying in Iraq" 04/17/2008
The Ongoing Lessons of the Afghan and Iraq Wars 04/14/2008
Commentary: The Failed Crocker-Petraeus Testimony and a "Conditions-Based" Strategy for Staying in Iraq 04/10/2008
Iraq and the Crocker-Petraeus Testimony: The Risks that Only Time and a Sustained US Presence Can Deal With 04/07/2008
Commentary: NATO's Decision on Missile Defense 04/04/2008
Commentary: The NATO Summit and Afghanistan: Cosmetics and the Slow Road to Defeat 04/04/2008
The Cost of the Iraq War 03/31/2008
Understanding the Fighting in Southern Iraq Between Sadr and the Iraqi Forces 03/26/2008
Security Challenges and Threats in the Gulf: A Net Assessment 03/24/2008
The Role of Airpower in the Iraq and Afghan Wars 03/19/2008
The Iraq War After Five Years: The Surge, Current Status, and Military Lessons 03/18/2008
The Lessons of the Israel-Hezbollah War: A Briefing 03/12/2008
The Strategic Impact of the Turkish Invasion of Iraq's Kurdish Region 03/03/2008
Victory and Violence in Iraq: Reducing the "Irreducible Minimum" 02/25/2008
Violence in Iraq 02/25/2008
Letter to General Rodriguez 02/13/2008
The Situation in Iraq: A Briefing from the Battlefield 02/13/2008
The Afghan-Pakistan War: Threat Developments 01/31/2008
The Evolving Security Situation in Iraq: The Continuing Need for Strategic Patience 01/22/2008
Open Letter on Afghanistan to the House Committee on Armed Services 01/16/2008
Iran and the US: Key Issues from an American Perspective 01/14/2008
Security and Stability in the Greater Middle East 01/10/2008
The Patterns in Violence and Casualties in Iraq 2007: The Need for Strategic Patience 01/08/2008
Iraq's Insurgency and the Road to Civil Conflict (2 vols) 12/30/2007
Commentary: The Security Impact of the Bhutto Assassination 12/27/2007
Progress in Iraq: The December Report on Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq 12/20/2007
Dollars and Bullets: The Role of US Aid in a Strategy for Iraq 12/17/2007
US Airpower in Iraq (OIF) and Afghanistan (OEF): 2004-2007 12/13/2007
Understanding the Key Judgments in the New NIE on Iranian Nuclear Weapons 12/06/2007
The Afghan-Pakistan War: A Status Report 12/03/2007
Critical Questions: Beyond Annapolis — The Security Aspects 12/03/2007
Assessing the Afghan-Pakistani Conflict 11/30/2007
Iran’s Nuclear Program: UN and IAEA Reporting and Developments 11/27/2007
Iran’s Nuclear and Missile Programs: A Status Report 11/20/2007
Iran, Israel and Nuclear War: An Illustrative Scenario Analysis 11/19/2007
Lessons of the 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah War 11/14/2007
Armed Nation Building: The Real Challenge in Afghanistan 11/07/2007
The Elements of Victory in Iraq 10/31/2007
Security Cooperation in the Middle East 10/29/2007
Pandora’s Box 10/25/2007
The Israeli "Nuclear Reactor Strike" and Syrian Weapons of Mass Destruction 10/24/2007
Iraq, the Surge, Partition, and the War: Public Opinion by City and Region 10/19/2007
The Struggle for Pashtunistan: The Afghan-Pakistan War 10/17/2007
Iraq, Afghanistan, and Self-Inflicted Wounds: Strategic Lessons of Armed Nation Building 10/16/2007
The Armenian Genocide Bill and the Turkish Reaction in Iraq 10/15/2007
Pandora’s Box: Iraqi Federalism, Separatism, "Hard" Partitioning, and US Policy 10/09/2007
Political, Military, and Economic Dynamics in Iraq: A Graphic Overview 10/05/2007
Iran's Military Forces and Warfighting Capabilities 09/25/2007
The Changing Challenges of US Defense Spending: An Update 09/24/2007
Global Energy, Economic Interdependence, Iraq And the Gulf 09/21/2007
Iraqi Force Development 09/11/2007
Twenty Questions on Progress and Problems in Iraq 09/10/2007
The Independent Commission on the Security Forces of Iraq: A Critique 09/06/2007
America’s Last Chance in Iraq 09/04/2007
Iraq’s Insurgency and Civil Violence: Developments through Late August 2007 08/22/2007
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, the Al Quds Force, and Other Intelligence and Paramilitary Forces 08/15/2007
Israel and Syria: The Military Balance and Prospects of War 08/15/2007
The Uncertain Cost of the Global War on Terror 08/09/2007
The Tenuous Case for Strategic Patience in Iraq: A Trip Report 08/06/2007
Improving U.S. and Syrian Relations: Some Possible Beginnings 07/19/2007
Iraq’s Sunni Insurgents: Looking Beyond Al Qa’ida 07/16/2007
Benchmarks in Iraq: The True Status 07/12/2007
Success or Failure? Iraq's Insurgency and Civil Violence and US Strategy: Developments through June 2007 07/09/2007
A Poisoned Chalice? The Flaws in the FY2008 Defense Program 07/03/2007
Iraq and Anbar: Surge or Separation? 06/29/2007
Iraq, Baquba, Arrowhead Ripper, and the Real Elements of “Victory� 06/25/2007
Summer Wars in Lebanon? 06/22/2007
The FY2008 National Security Program: An Analysis of Future Trends 06/21/2007
Still Losing? The June 2007 Edition of "Measuring Stability in Iraq" 06/20/2007
The Strategic Implications of the Palestinian Crisis 06/20/2007
The Uncertain "Metrics" of Afghanistan (and Iraq) 05/18/2007
Iraqi Perceptions of the War: Public Opinion by City and Region 05/02/2007
US Strategy in Iraq and Afghanistan: Beyond Partisan Failure and Dishonesty 05/02/2007
Iraq, the Gulf, Afghanistan: The Way Ahead 05/01/2007
Salvaging American Defense 04/30/2007
Iraq, Afghanistan, and the Emerging Challenge 04/27/2007
Commentary: Securing Baghdad with Gated Communities 04/20/2007
Warfighting and Proliferation in the Middle East 04/17/2007
Iraq’s Troubled Future: The Uncertain Way Ahead 04/13/2007
Chinese Military Modernization 04/09/2007
Iraq’s Sectarian and Ethnic Violence and Its Evolving Insurgency 04/02/2007
Testimony: Iraqi Force Development and the Challenge of Civil War 03/28/2007
Iran, Oil, and the Strait of Hormuz 03/26/2007
UN Sanctions and Iranian Arms Imports 03/26/2007
The New Strategy in Iraq: Uncertain Progress Towards an Unknown Goal 03/14/2007
The Long War: The United States as a Self-Inflicted Wound 03/13/2007
Israeli and US Strikes on Iran: A Speculative Analysis 03/05/2007
Iran: "Hegemon" or "Weakling" 03/02/2007
The British Defeat in the South and the Uncertain Bush "Strategy" in Iraq 02/21/2007
Iran: "Weakling" or "Hegemon"? 02/20/2007
Iran's Developing Nuclear and Missile Programs 02/16/2007
Winning in Afghanistan: The Challenges and the Response 02/15/2007
The FY2008 National Security Program 02/14/2007
The Changing Challenges of U.S. Defense Spending 02/12/2007
The New Bush Strategy in Iraq: What Are the Chances of "Victory"? 02/05/2007
Reconstruction in Iraq: The Uncertain Way Ahead 02/02/2007
Iraq’s Sectarian and Ethnic Violence and the Evolving Insurgency 01/29/2007
Iraq's Evolving Insurgency and the Risk of Civil War 01/26/2007
Reconstruction in Iraq: The Uncertain Way Ahead 01/19/2007
Judging President Bush's Iraq Speech: A Summary Checklist 01/10/2007
Looking beyond the Surge 01/04/2007
The Department of Defense Quarterly Report on Stability and Security in Iraq: The Warning Indicators 12/22/2006
Iraq’s Sectarian and Ethnic Violence and the Evolving Insurgency 12/14/2006
Winning in Afghanistan: Afghan Force Development 12/14/2006
Winning in Afghanistan: How to Face the Rising Threat 12/12/2006
The Baker-Hamilton Study Group Report 12/06/2006
Global Oil Security: Risks by Region and Supplier 11/13/2006
Saudi Energy Security: A Global Security Perspective 11/10/2006
Rethinking Global Energy Security: Geostrategic and Economic Risks 11/09/2006
Options for Expanding Iraqi Forces: Goals and Realities 11/02/2006
Iraq: Milestones, Benchmarks, and Real World Options 10/30/2006
The Changing Dynamics of Energy in the Middle East [2 vols.] 10/30/2006
Options for Iraq: The Almost Good, the Bad, and the Ugly 10/18/2006
Is There a "Civil War" in Iraq? 10/16/2006
Iran's Nuclear and Missile Programs: A Strategic Assessment 10/10/2006
The Meaning of the North Korean Nuclear Weapons Test 10/09/2006
Rethinking Global Energy Security: Geostrategic and Economic Risks 10/06/2006
Iraqi Force Development 10/04/2006
Arab-Israeli Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric Wars 09/30/2006
Iraq's Evolving Insurgency and the Risk of Civil War 09/27/2006
Winning the War on Terrorism 09/25/2006
Chinese Military Modernization and Force Development 09/07/2006
Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq 09/05/2006
Iranian Nuclear Weapons? Options for Sanctions and Military Strikes 08/30/2006
Iraqi Force Development 08/23/2006
Iraqi Force Development 08/23/2006
American Strategic and Tactical Failures in Iraq: An Update 08/08/2006
Winning the Battle of Baghdad: The Challenges U.S. Forces and the Iraqi Government Must Meet 08/07/2006
The Middle East Crisis: Six "Long Wars" and Counting 08/04/2006
Round Two in the Battle of Baghdad 08/01/2006
Qana and the Lessons for Modern War 07/31/2006
The Importance of Building Local Capabilities: Lessons from the Counterinsurgency in Iraq 07/31/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Bahrain 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Iran 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Iraq 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Kuwait 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Oman 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Qatar 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: United Arab Emirates 07/28/2006
The Gulf Military Forces in an Era of Asymmetric War: Yemen 07/28/2006
The "Baghdad Problem" 07/26/2006
Israel's Uncertain Military Performance and Strategic Goals in Lebanon 07/25/2006
The Road to Nowhere: Everyone's Strategic Failures in Lebanon 07/21/2006
The Challenge of Meeting the Needs of Our Active and Reserve Military 07/20/2006
Losing the War in Iraq? 07/19/2006
Iran's Support of the Hezbollah in Lebanon 07/15/2006
Lebanese Security and the Hezbollah 07/14/2006
US Defense Planning: The Challenge of Resources 07/07/2006
America's Uncertain Approach to Strategy and Force Planning 07/05/2006
North Korea's Missile Tests: Saber Rattling or Rocket's Red Glare 07/05/2006
Is Defense Transformation Affordable? 06/27/2006
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2006 06/26/2006
Iraq's Evolving Insurgency and the Risk of Civil War 06/22/2006
Iraqi Force Development in 2006 06/19/2006
Securing Baghdad: Understanding and Covering the Operation 06/14/2006
Commentary on Zarqawi's Death 06/08/2006
Zarqawi's Death: Temporary "Victory" or Lasting Impact 06/08/2006
The Quarterly Report on Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq: "Fact, Fallacy, and an Overall Grade of "F" 06/02/2006
Iran's Weapons of Mass Destruction 06/01/2006
Winning the "Long War" in Iraq: What the US Can and Cannot Do 05/24/2006
The Uncertain Cost of the Iraq War 05/09/2006
Iraq and the Problem of Militias 05/08/2006
The Five Best Resource Decisions in National Security 05/02/2006
Dividing Iraq: Think Long and Hard First 05/01/2006
Iraq's Evolving Insurgency and the Risk of Civil War 04/26/2006
American Strategic, Tactical, and Other Mistakes in Iraq: A Litany of Errors 04/19/2006
Iranian Nuclear Weapons? Iran's Missiles and Possible Delivery Systems 04/17/2006
Iranian Nuclear Weapons? The Uncertain Nature of Iran's Nuclear Programs 04/12/2006
Jafaari and Political Reality in Iraq: A Tipping Year At Best 04/11/2006
Iranian Nuclear Weapons? The Options if Diplomacy Fails 04/07/2006
The Geopolitics of Energy: Geostrategic Risks and Economic Uncertainties 03/20/2006
The Iraq War and Lessons for Counterinsurgency 03/16/2006
The Iraqi Insurgency and the Risk of Civil War: Who Are the Players? 03/01/2006
The Global Oil Market 03/01/2006
Iraqi Force Development: A Current Status Report July 2005-February 2006 02/15/2006
Palestinian Forces 02/09/2006
The Lessons of International Cooperation in Counterterrorism 02/07/2006
Iraq's Evolving Insurgency: The Nature of Attacks and Patterns and Cycles in the Conflict 02/03/2006
Iraqi Force Development: A Current Status Report July-December 2005 01/18/2006
The Impact of the Iraqi Election: A Working Analysis 01/10/2006
Casualties, the Election, and Insurgency - A "Red Team" View 01/06/2006
The Iraq War and Its Lessons for Developing Local Forces 01/03/2006
The True Meaning of the Iraqi Election: A "Trigger," Not a "Turning Point" 12/15/2005
Iraq’s Evolving Insurgency 12/09/2005
The Iraq War and Its Strategic Lessons for Counterinsurgency 12/09/2005
Iraqi Security Forces 12/01/2005
The Challenge of Biological Terrorism 12/01/2005
Shaping the Future of Counterinsurgency Warfare: A Strategic Approach 11/29/2005
Iraqi Force Development: Coalition Reporting as of the Fall of 2005 11/21/2005
Shaping the Future of Counterinsurgency Warfare 11/21/2005
Iraq and Foreign Volunteers 11/17/2005
The Zarqawi Attack on Jordan: A Single Point Does Not Make a Trend 11/15/2005
Rethinking the Challenge of Counterinsurgency Warfare: Working Notes 11/07/2005
The Israeli-Palestinian War 11/01/2005
US and Coalition Casualties and Costs of War in Iraq 10/21/2005
US and Coalition Casualties in Iraq 10/20/2005
The Meaning of the Referendum on the Iraqi Constitution 10/17/2005
The Arab Role in Iraq: A Strategy for Action 10/05/2005
The Changing Risks in Global Oil Supply and Demand: Crisis or Evolving Solutions? 10/03/2005
New Patterns in the Iraqi Insurgency: The War for a Civil War in Iraq 09/27/2005
Saudi Militants in Iraq: Assessment and Kingdom's Response 09/19/2005
Success or Failure in the Fighting in Iraq? 09/14/2005
International Cooperation in Counter-Terrorism: Making the Myth A Reality 09/05/2005
National Security in Saudi Arabia 09/01/2005
Withdrawal from Iraq: US Hopes or US Plans? 08/25/2005
The Iraqi Constitution: Solution or Part of the Problem? 08/23/2005
Keeping the Iraqi Constitutional Debate in Perspective 08/21/2005
Iraqi Force Development: Can Iraqi Forces Do the Job? 08/08/2005
Iraq’s Evolving Insurgency 08/05/2005
The International Energy Outlook 2005: It is Hard to Make Predictions, Especially about the Future 08/05/2005
Saudi Economics and Saudi Stability: The Facts Behind the Speculation 08/04/2005
Saudi Arabia's 'Sustainable' Capacity and Global Energy Supply and Demand 05/04/2005
Global Energy Demand and Capacity Building in Saudi Arabia’s Petroleum Sector 05/02/2005
Iran's Developing Military Capabilities 05/01/2005
Iraq's Security Forces: 150,000 or Bust? 04/14/2005
The Military Balance in the Gulf: The Dynamics of Force Developments 04/13/2005
Resources versus Strategy and Force Transformation: Iraq and the Challenges of "American Overstretch" 04/12/2005
Iraqi Force Development: The Challenges of Partnership in Nation-Building 04/07/2005
Terrorist and Extremist Movements in the Middle East: The Impact on the Regional Military Balance 03/29/2005
The Arab Israeli States: National Forces Developments and Trends 03/29/2005
The North African Military Balance: Force Developments in the Maghreb 03/28/2005
Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East: The Impact on The Regional Military Balance 03/25/2005
The Middle East Military Balance: Definition, Regional Developments and Trends 03/23/2005
The Changing Balance of US and Global Dependence on Middle Eastern Energy Exports 03/20/2005
Iraqi Force Development: An Iraqi View 03/10/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - Fighting and Failed Peace Efforts 02/23/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Actors in the Conflict: The Palestinian Factions Aligned with the Palestinian Authority 02/23/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Actors in the Conflict: The Palestinian Factions that Challenge Peace and the Palestinian Authority 02/23/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Course of the Conflict in Gaza 02/23/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Outside Actors that Have Shaped the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict 02/23/2005
Strengthening Iraqi Military and Security Forces 02/17/2005
Saudi Counter Terrorism Efforts: The Changing Paramilitary and Domestic Security Apparatus 02/02/2005
Weapons of Mass Destruction in Asia 01/29/2005
Al-Qaeda in Saudi Arabia 01/26/2005
The Transatlantic Alliance and the Middle East 01/20/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - From Peace to War: Land for Peace or Settlements for War? 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - From Peace to War: Terrorism for Settlements 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - IDF Tactics and Methods: Isolation, Containment, and the Selective Use of Conventional Military Power 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - Introduction 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - Peace with Violence versus Violence without Peace 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The "Butcher's Bill": Casualty Trends and the Cost of War 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Actors in the Conflict: The Israeli Defense Forces 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Collapse of the Peace Process 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Course of the Conflict in Israel Proper 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Course of the Conflict in the West Bank and "Greater Jerusalem" 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Final Settlement Issues: Asymmetric Values and Asymmetric Warfare 01/13/2005
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli-Palestinian War - The Palestinian Tactical Response: Asymmetric Warfare and the Battle of Perceptions 01/13/2005
Praying for Luck: The Real Meaning of Iraq's Coming Elections 01/02/2005
The US Role in the Arab-Israeli Peace Process 12/28/2004
The Developing Iraqi Insurgency: Status at End-2004 12/22/2004
Iran's Developing Military Capabilities 12/08/2004
Iran's Developing Military Capabilities 12/08/2004
Saudi Petroleum Security 11/30/2004
US and Global Dependence on Middle Eastern Energy Exports: 2004-2030 11/23/2004
Playing the Course: A Strategy for Reshaping US Policy in Iraq and the Middle East 11/22/2004
The Battle for Fallujah: The Underlying Military Issues 11/08/2004
The Fallujah Objectives: What Meaningful "Victory" Really Means 11/07/2004
Al Qaqaa and the Military Realities in Iraq 10/28/2004
Iraq, Afghanistan, and the Lessons of Recent Conflicts in the Middle East 10/21/2004
Iraq, Grand Strategy, and the Lessons of Military History 10/19/2004
The Critical Role of Iraqi Military, Security, and Police Forces 10/07/2004
Intelligence Reform as a Self-Inflicted Wound: Asking the Right Questions 09/16/2004
Beyond Anger and Counterterrorism: A New Grand Strategy for U.S. and Arab Relations 09/13/2004
Saudi National Security: Military and Security Services Challenges & Developments 09/13/2004
Energy Developments in the Middle East 09/01/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East 09/01/2004
The Intelligence Lessons of the Iraq War(s) 08/06/2004
US Policy in Iraq: A "Realist" Approach to its Challenges and Opportunities 08/06/2004
The 9/11 Commission Report: Strengths and Weaknesses 08/02/2004
The Problem of Intelligence on Iraqi WMD 07/29/2004
Inexcusable Failure -Progress in Training the Iraqi Army and Security Forces as of Mid-July 2004 07/20/2004
Iran's Evolving Military Forces 07/15/2004
Cleaning Up the Mess: The Failures of the CPA and the U.S. Effort in Iraq and What Can Be Done to Salvage Them 07/07/2004
Lessons of Post Cold War Conflict: Middle Eastern Lessons and Perspectives 06/16/2004
The War after the War 06/01/2004
Saudi Military Forces and Development: Challenges & Reforms 05/30/2004
The Bush Plan for Iraq: A Risk Assessment 05/25/2004
The Ongoing Lessons of Afghanistan: Warfighting, Intelligence, Force Transformation, and Nation Building 05/06/2004
Iraq: What is to Be Done 05/05/2004
Saudi Internal Security: A Risk Assessment 05/04/2004
Fallujah, Sadr, and the Eroding US Position in Iraq 04/30/2004
One Year On: Nation Building in Iraq (WORKING DRAFT) 04/16/2004
The Situation in Iraq: The Impact of President Bush's Speech 04/16/2004
Hostages, Murders, and Desecrated Corpses: Iraqi Political and Psychological Warfare 04/11/2004
The Implications of the Current Fighting In Iraq 04/08/2004
Nation Building in Iraq: A Status Report 03/25/2004
Current MENA Energy Developments: The Trends By Sub-Region and Country 03/15/2004
Energy Developments in the Middle East 03/15/2004
Political, Economic and Demographic Pressures on Middle Eastern Energy Production and Exports 03/15/2004
The Geopolitics and Security Dimensions of Middle Eastern and North African Energy Exports 03/15/2004
The Growing Importance of Middle Eastern Energy 03/15/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East: The Impact of Terrorism and Extremism on the Regional Balance 03/15/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East: The Impact of the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction on the Regional Balance 03/15/2004
The Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East 03/15/2004
Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East 03/15/2004
Supply, Demand, Financing, and The Future of Energy in the Middle East and North Africa 03/14/2004
The Shi'ite Bombings in Iraq: The Broader Implications 03/03/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East: Assessing the Balance, Total Forces, Military Expenditures and Arms Transfers 02/19/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East: The Northern and Southern Gulf 02/19/2004
The Military Balance in the Middle East: The Arab-Israeli Balance 02/18/2004
Ten Reasons for Reforging US and Saudi Relations 01/30/2004
Intelligence, Iraq, and Weapons of Mass Destruction Executive Summary 01/26/2004
Intelligence, Iraq, and Weapons of Mass Destruction Main Report 01/26/2004
Intelligence, Iraq, and Weapons of Mass Destruction Main Report with Annex 01/26/2004
The Power Struggle over Elections in Iraq: The Other Side of the Story 01/23/2004
The Transatlantic Alliance: Is 2004 the Year of the Greater Middle East? 01/12/2004
Middle Eastern Energy After the Iraq War: Current and Projected Trends 01/04/2004
Developments in Iraq at the End of 2003 12/29/2003
Globalization and US Military Planning 12/09/2003
New Forms of War and Arms Control in the Middle East 12/09/2003
Iraq and Asymmetric Warfare: The US vs. FRL/Islamist Duel 12/04/2003
Four Wars and Counting: Rethinking the Strategic Meaning of the Iraq War 12/01/2003
The Iraq War and Lessons Relating to Intelligence and Weapons of Mass Destruction 12/01/2003
Current Military Situation in Iraq 11/14/2003
Iraq: Too Uncertain To Call 11/14/2003
Iraq War Note: Saudi Redeployment of the F-15 to Tabuk 10/31/2003
Iraq War Note: War Note: Non-U.S. Military targets in Iraq and the UN Cutback 10/30/2003
The Lessons and Non-Lessons of the Air and Missile Campaign in Kosovo 09/17/2003
The Military Balance in North Africa: An Analytic Overview 09/17/2003
The Persian-Arabian Gulf and the Revolution in Military Affairs 09/12/2003
The Iraq War 09/01/2003
The Need for More Sophisticated Reporting On Al Qaida and Terrorism 08/29/2003
Four Wars and Counting…The Need for a New Approach to Strategy and Force Planning 08/27/2003
What is Next in Iraq? Military Developments, Military Requirements and Armed Nation Building 08/21/2003
The "War After the War" In Iraq: Evolving Conflict, Possible Scenarios, and the Data and Analytic Tools Needed to Understand What is Happening 08/08/2003
Saudi Arabia and the Challenge of Terrorism: Reacting to the '9/11 Report' 08/03/2003
The Lessons of the Iraq War: Executive Summary 07/21/2003
The Lessons of the Iraq War: Main Report 07/21/2003
Intelligence Failures in the Iraq War 07/16/2003
The Lessons of the Iraq War: Summary Briefing 07/15/2003
Iraq: Is This The Beginning of a Third Gulf War? 07/07/2003
The Lessons of the Iraq War: Issues Relating to Grand Strategy - Asymmetric Warfare, Intelligence, Weapons of Mass 07/03/2003
Intelligence and Iraqi Weapons of Mass Destruction: The Lessons from the Iraq War 07/01/2003
The Asian Military Balance 2003 05/01/2003
The Asian Military Balance: An Analytic Overview 05/01/2003
Iraq War Note: Developments in Iraq 04/24/2003
Victory in Iraq and the Not So New Middle East 04/16/2003
If Its Syria: Syrian Military Forces and Capabilities 04/15/2003
The Iraq War: A Working Chronology 04/14/2003
The Military Balance in the Middle East 04/14/2003
Victory in Iraq and the Fracture Lines in Iraq and the Middle East 04/14/2003
Iraq War Note: The End Game: A battle of Tikrit? 04/11/2003
The Status of Iraqi Land Forces and Security/Intelligence Forces: A Guesstimate 04/10/2003
Iraq War Note: Tikrit and Iraq’s Remaining Forces 04/09/2003
Iraq War Note: Recent Developments 04/08/2003
The Evolving Ethical, Moral, and Legal Dilemmas of the Iraq War 04/08/2003
Iraq War Note: Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction: UNSCOM and the UNMOVIC Effect? 04/07/2003
Iraq War Note: The Developing Battle of Baghdad and the Early Lessons of War 04/07/2003
Iraq War Note: Breaking the Hornet’s Nest: The Battle for Baghdad 04/06/2003
Iraq War Note: The "Not so Battle of Baghdad?" 04/05/2003
Iraq War Note: The Changing Role of Airpower 04/05/2003
Iraq War Note: Closing in on Baghdad: New Concepts of Joint War 04/03/2003
Iraq War Note: Worst vs. Best Cases So Far 04/03/2003
Iraq War Note: Major Advances and Future Uncertainties 04/02/2003
Iraq War Note: Cutting Through the Fog of War on the 12th Day 04/01/2003
Iraq War Note: Iraqi Air Defenses and the Battle of Baghdad 04/01/2003
The Military Balance in North Africa 04/01/2003
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century (vol. 1) 04/01/2003
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century (vol. 2) 04/01/2003
Iraq War Note: Air and Land Operations 03/31/2003
Iraq War Note: Iraq's Missing Air Force and Army Aviation 03/31/2003
Iraq War Note: The True Nature of Urban Warfare 03/30/2003
Iraq War Note: Non-Pause, the True Logistics Story, and Blaming Rumsfeld 03/29/2003
Iraq War Note: Action in the North 03/28/2003
Iraq War Note: Seige of Baghdad, New Iraqi Tactics and US/UK Response 03/28/2003
Iraq War Note: Desert Light versus Twin Rivers Tyranny 03/27/2003
Iraq War Note: Developments During the 7th Day of War 03/26/2003
Iraq War Note: Intelligence Limits - Short Range Air Defense 03/25/2003
Iraq War Note: The Battle of Baghdad: Trafficability, Shelters, Barriers, the Baghdad Red Line, and the Places We Can't Find on the Map 03/25/2003
The U.S.-Iraqi Artillery Duel: Precision Artillery vs. Chemical Weapons? 03/19/2003
The Iraqi Air Defense Command 03/18/2003
Saddam's Last Circle: The Core Forces Likely to Protect Saddam in the "Battle of Baghdad" 03/17/2003
Understanding the New "Effects-based" Air War in Iraq 03/15/2003
The Iraq War: Britain, Turkey & Australia: War Without Allies or Coalition of the Unwilling? 03/12/2003
The Iraq War: Iraq's Warfighting Strategy 03/11/2003
The Iraq War: Can We Guess at the First Day? 03/07/2003
The Iraq War: "Worst," "Worse," and "No so Worst" Cases 03/05/2003
The Kurdish Issue and the Coming War: Issues for War and Reconstruction 03/02/2003
After an Attack on Iraq: The Economic Consequences - Background Paper, Risk Analysis and Scenarios 03/01/2003
The Changing Iraqi Order of Battle: A Guesstimate 02/28/2003
The Great Iraqi Missile Mystery 02/25/2003
The Prospects for Stability in Saudi Arabia in 2004 02/19/2003
Transnational Threats: The Emerging Strategic Lessons from the US Intervention in Iraq 02/11/2003
Iraqi Armed Forces on the Edge of War 02/07/2003
Commentary on Secretary Powell's Statement on Iraq 02/05/2003
Iraqi Intelligence and Security Forces and Capabilities for Popular Warfare 01/16/2003
Iraqi Intelligence and Security Forces for Popular Warfare 01/16/2003
Planning for a Self-Inflicted Wound: US Policy to Reshape a Post-Saddam Iraq 12/31/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: IV. Opposition and Islamic Extremism 12/31/2002
The Air War Lessons of Afghanistan: Change and Continuity 12/27/2002
The U.S. and the Middle East: Energy Dependence, Demographics, and the Myth of Oil Wealth 12/22/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension IX. Saudi Paramilitary and Internal Security Forces 12/19/2002
The US and the Middle East: Energy Dependence and Demographics 12/09/2002
The New Iraqi "Shell Game", The Strategic Iraq May Employ to Defeat UNMOVIC and IAEA Effort 12/05/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: V. Economic, Demographic, and Social Challenges 12/03/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: VI. Building True Wealth Versus Over-dependence on Petroleum and the State 12/02/2002
Saudi Arabia Enter the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension II. Saudi Military Leadership, Organization, and Manpower 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: I. Introduction 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: II. Foreign Relations and External Security 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: III. Politics and Internal Stability 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension III. Saudi Military Expenditures and Arms Transfers 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension IV. The Saudi Army 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension V. The Saudi National Guard 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension VI. The Saudi Navy 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension VII. The Saudi Air Force 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension VIII. The Saudi Air Defense Force 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension. I. Saudi Strategic Challenges 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: VII. Shaping the Future of the Saudi Petroleum Sector 10/30/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: VIII. Saudi Arabia at the Start of the 21st Century: Key Conclusions 10/30/2002
The Lessons of Afghanistan 10/01/2002
Iraq: A Dynamic Net Assessment 07/21/2002
Iraqi War Fighting Capabilities: A Dynamic Net Assessment 07/21/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension: Chapter Eleven: Summary and Conclusions 07/21/2002
Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century: The Military and Internal Security Dimension: Chapter Ten: Proliferation and Saudi Missiles Capabilities 07/21/2002
Geopolitics and Energy Key Trends: 2000-2020 07/03/2002
Israel versus the Palestinians: The "Second Intifada" and Asymmetric Warfare 07/01/2002
If We Fight Iraq: Iraq and The Conventional Military Balance in the Gulf 06/28/2002
The Lessons of Afghanistan 06/28/2002
The Role of the United Nations in Fighting Terrorism 06/18/2002
The India-Pakistan Military Balance 05/31/2002
U.S. and Russian Nuclear Forces and Arms Control 05/29/2002
Israel and the Challenges of the Second Intifada 05/21/2002
US and Russian Nuclear Forces and Arms Control 05/14/2002
The Uncertain Costs of Homeland Defense - The Cost and Justification of the FY2003 Budget Submission 05/12/2002
Understanding the Iraq Crisis: U.S. Forces in the Gulf 05/10/2002
Escalating to Nowhere: The Israeli and Palestinian Strategic Failure 04/12/2002
The U.S. Military and the Evolving Challenges in the Middle East 03/09/2002
The US Military and the Evolving Challenges in the Middle East 03/09/2002
The Old-New Lessons of Afghanistan 03/04/2002
Saudi Security and the War on Terrorism 03/03/2002
The Military Balance in North Africa 02/28/2002
If We Fight Iraq: Iraq and Its Conventional Military Balance 02/27/2002
If We Fight Iraq: Iraq and Its Weapons of Mass Destruction 02/27/2002
If We Fight Iraq: Iraq and The Conventional Military Balance 02/27/2002
The Conventional Military Balance in South Asia 02/27/2002
The Arab-Israeli Military Balance in 2002 (Part 1) 02/26/2002
The Arab-Israeli Military Balance in 2002 (Part 2) 02/26/2002
The Arab-Israeli Military Balance in 2002 (Part 3) 02/26/2002
The Arab-Israeli Military Balance in 2002 (Part 4) 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: Military Spending 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: Northeast Asia 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: Overview 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: South Asia 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: Southeast Asia 02/26/2002
The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2002: Total and Sub-Regional Balances: Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and South Asia 02/26/2002
The New American Approach to Defense: The FY2003 Program 02/06/2002
Weapons of Mass Destruction in India and Pakistan 02/02/2002
The Military Balance in the Gulf: 2001-2002 Part III 01/23/2002
The Global Nuclear Balance: A Quantitative and Arms Control Analysis 01/22/2002
A New Transatlantic Strategy for Terrorism and Asymmetric Warfare 01/16/2002
The Impact of the US Nuclear Posture Review 01/10/2002
The Impact of the US Nuclear Posture Review: Analytic Summary 01/10/2002
US and Russian Nuclear Forces and Arms Control After the US Nuclear Posture Review 01/10/2002
The Global Nuclear Balance: 01/09/2002
The Military Balance in the Gulf: 2001-2002 Part I 01/09/2002
Taking a New Look at Afghanistan and the War on Terrorism 01/08/2002
Western Military Balance and Defense Efforts 01/01/2002
The Conventional Military Balance in India, Pakistan, and South Asia 12/28/2001
The Broader War on Terrorism: After the "Victory" in Afghanistan 12/27/2001
Taking Advantage of Delay: A Success-Driven Approach to NMD 12/08/2001
If We Fight Iraq: The Lessons of Fighting in Afghanistan 12/07/2001
If We Fight Iraq: The Lessons of the Fighting in Afghanistan 12/07/2001
Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Global Nuclear Balance 12/04/2001
Iraq's Military Capabilities: Fighting A Wounded, But Dangerous, Poisonous Snake 12/03/2001
The Lasting Challenge: A Strategy for Counterterrorism and Asymmetric Warfare 11/30/2001
The Middle East and War With Iraq 11/30/2001
Oil Crash and Oil Boom - Demographics and Economics In the Gulf 11/29/2001
Sending in the Marines: What Happens Next 11/27/2001
Beyond the Bin Laden Hunt: The Real Story in the War Against Terrorism 11/20/2001
The Situation in Afghanistan: Uncertain Victory, Uncertain Endgame 11/19/2001
Hunting for Bin Laden and Al Qaeda 11/16/2001
Why the Taliban Collapsed So Quickly 11/14/2001
Taking Mazar e-Shariff: The Strategic Impact 11/13/2001
Saudi Official Statements on Terrorism After the September 11th Attacks 11/11/2001
The U.S. Bombing and Ramadan: The Real Problems We Face Because of Our Failure to Understand Asymmetric Warfare and Mistakes that Turn "Information Dominance" into a Self-Inflicted Wound 11/09/2001
Radiological Weapons as Means of Attack 11/08/2001
The Evolving US Strategy in Afghanistan 11/06/2001
The Uncertain Status of the War 11/05/2001
Defining 'Carpet Bombing in the Afghan War 11/02/2001
A New Strategy for Dealing with Terrorism in the Middle East 11/01/2001
The Problems in Major U.S. Ground Options in Afghanistan: It May Not Be Over When It's Over 11/01/2001
The Taliban and its Afghan Opposition: Why the "Bad Guys" May be Less Fragile than The "Good Guys" and Why a US Ground-Air Option May Be Necessary 10/31/2001
The Growing British Role in the War Against the Taliban and Al Qaeda: Force Contributions and Chronology 10/30/2001
A Long War? Weather as a 'Four-Edged Sword' 10/29/2001
The Quadrennial Defence Review and Force Transformation: Notes for a Cautionary Analysis 10/29/2001
The Lack of Battle Damage Assessment Data 10/25/2001
Background to the War 10/24/2001
The Emerging Strike Patterns in the Air War in Afghanistan 10/20/2001
Iraq And Other Threats To The US Involving Weapons Of Mass Destruction 10/17/2001
Asymmetric and Terrorist Attacks With Biological Weapons 09/24/2001
Asymmetric and Terrorist Attacks With Chemical Weapons 09/24/2001
Terrorist Organisations and States and Weapons of Mass Destruction 09/24/2001
Asymmetric and Terrorist Attacks With Radiological and Nuclear Weapons 09/23/2001
Biological Warfare and the "Buffy Paradigm" 09/21/2001
A New US Strategy for Counter-Terrorism and Asymmetric Warfare 09/19/2001
The Military Balance in the Gulf: 2001-2002: Part II 09/02/2001
Saudi Arabia Enters The 21st Century: Civil Graphics, Tables, and Maps 08/01/2001
Saudi Military Forces Enter the 21st Century: Military Graphs and Tables 08/01/2001
Military Expenditures And Arms Transfers in the Middle East 07/17/2001
Military Expenditures And Arms Transfers in the Middle East: An Analytic Overview 07/17/2001
National Developments of Biological Weapons in the Middle East 07/17/2001
Islamic Extremism in Saudi Arabia and the Attack on Al Khobar 06/22/2001
Saudi Arabia and Iran 06/22/2001
Economic and Demographic Stability and Instability in the Gulf 05/14/2001
Oil Crash and Oil Boom 05/14/2001
Stability and Instability in the Middle East 05/14/2001
The Economic and Demographic Challenges to Saudi Stability 05/14/2001
Stability and Instability in the Middle East 05/10/2001
Energy Policy and Energy Analysis: Flawed Analysis Means Flawed Policy 04/26/2001
Global Terrorism and the Middle East 04/26/2001
Iraq and "Smart Sanctions": Reshaping US Policy in the Gulf 04/26/2001
Saudi Military Forces Enter the 21st Century 04/26/2001
Iraq and America’s Foreign Policy Crisis in the Middle East 04/25/2001
Iraq and the Military Balance in the Gulf 04/25/2001
The Gulf and the Definition of "Citizen" 04/25/2001
The Military Balance in the Gulf 04/25/2001
Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq 04/25/2001
Iraq and "Smart Sanctions" Reshaping US Policy in the Gulf 04/19/2001
Stability and Instability in the Middle East and the Gulf: [updated 04-18-01] 04/18/2001
The Economic, Energy, and Demographic Causes of Stability and Instability in the Middle East and the Gulf 03/19/2001
The Military Threat from Iraq 03/01/2001
The Problem of "Smart Sanctions" Against Iraq 03/01/2001
Defending America: Redefining The Conceptual Borders Of Homeland Defense Terrorism, Asymmetric Warfare And Chemical Weapons 02/14/2001
Defending America: Redefining The Conceptual Borders Of Homeland Defense Terrorism, Asymmetric Warfare And Nuclear Weapons 02/14/2001
Homeland Defense: Coping With The Threat of Indirect, Covert, Terrorist, and Extremist Attacks with Weapons of Mass Destruction 02/14/2001
Terrorism, Asymmetric Warfare And Chemical Weapons 02/14/2001