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Burke Chair on Saudi Arabia Enters the 21st Century

Reports

Arab-Israeli Ring States

Up-to date data on the Arab-Israeli Military Balance are in the Military Balance section of this site.

 


Arms Control

Net Assessments of Trends in Global Arms Control

The CSIS has developed a series of briefings on the global trends in arms control covering an introductory analysis, existing global agreements, the impact of the revolution in military affairs, and new trends in arms control. The summaries cover the terms and trends in such agreements and use unclassified data to provide a data base on relevent military forces for the assessment of the military balance, and arms control analysis.

 

The various reports analyze trends in force levels, conventional contingency capabilities, and current developments in biological, chemical, and nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles. A separate report analyzes the prospects for controlling weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East. Up tp date data on the Nuclear Balance and Arms Control are in the Military Balance section of this site.

 


Arms Transfers


Energy, Oil and Gas


Global Net Assessments

See the Military Balance section of this site for up-to-date and more comprehensive reports.

 


Gulf and Southwest Asia

These reports are now in the Gulf in Transition section of this site.

Lessons of Modern War


The reports in this section cover recent military history and analyses of future trends in combat. Please note that the analysis of the war in Kosovo is a rough draft which has been kept on the web only because of repeated requests. A new and massively revised version will be published as a Praeger/Greenwood Book this fall.

 

The author's four volume series on the Lessons of Modern War, which covers the Arab-Israeli Wars (Volume One), the Iran-Iraq War (Volume Two), the Falklands Conflict and Afghan Conflict (Volume Three), and the Gulf War of 1990-1991(Volume Four) is available in hard copy from Westview
Comments should be addressed to Anthony H. Cordesman in care of the CSIS or at Acordesman@aol.com. It is not possible to respond to most comments or to any requests for additional data, interviews, etc.

 


Middle East Arms Control

 

The latest data on the regional military balance are in the Military Balance section of this site.

 


Middle East Overviews


Middle East Military Balance - 2000


Middle East Military Balance - 1999

These data are historical reference. For current data, see the Military Balance section of this site.

 

  1. Overview
  2. North Africa — Overview
  3. North Africa — Country Analysis
  4. Arab-Israeli Balance — Overview of Military Spending and Arms Transfers
  5. Arab-Israeli Balance — Regional Force Comparisons
  6. Arab-Israeli Balance — Comparisons by Country and Subregion
  7. The Gulf — Overview
  8. The Gulf — Regional Comparisons of Total Forces, Manpower, and Land, Air, Air Defense and Naval Forces
  9. The Northern Gulf — Iran
  10. The Northern Gulf — Iraq
  11. The Southern Gulf — Bahrain and Kuwait
  12. The Southern Gulf — Oman and Qatar
  13. The Southern Gulf — Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Yemen
  14. Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East

Missile Defense

For additional data, see the Homeland Defense section of this site.

 

North Korea's Missile Tests: Saber Rattling or Rocket's Red Glare

Taking Advantage of Delay: A Success-Driven Approach to NMD (New 9/8/00)

 

REPORT ON HOMELAND DEFENSE AND NATIONAL MISSILE DEFENSE


Missile Threats: North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Proliferation and US National Missile Defenses (Updated 8/23/00)

 

China and the US: National Missile Defenses and Chinese Nuclear Modernization - A Background Paper
(Updated 9/5/00)

 

Russia and the US: National Missile Defenses, START, the ABM Treaty, and Nuclear Modernization: A Background Paper (Updated 9/5/00)

 

Tests and Cost and Technical Risk in the U.S. National Missile Defense Program (Updated 9/5/00)

 



North Africa and the Mahgreb

For current data on the military balance, see the Military Balance section of this site.

 


Population and Demographics


Red Sea and Yemen

For current data on the military balance, see the Military Balance section of this site.

 


Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction


US Policy, Power Projection, Military Spending and Arms Transfers

For current data on US Forces, see the Military Balance section of this site.

 

The Impact of the US Nuclear Posture Review: Analytic Summary (01/10/02)

 

Trends in US Defense Spending:
The Size of Funding, Procurement, and Readiness Problems
(10/06/00)

 

The "Other Side" of Globalization (10/1/99)

 

Trends in US Military Forces and Defense Spending: Peace Dividend or Underfunding? (7/27/99)

 

Trends in Western Defense on the Edge of the New Millennium
A Comparative Summary of Military Expenditures; Manpower; Land, Air, Naval, and Nuclear Forces; and Arms Sales (1/15/99)

 

The Crisis in US Defense Spending: A Reality Check (1/3/99)

 

US Comparative Military Strength, Global Strategy and Force Plans, Defense Spending, and Arms Sales

 

US Regional Strategy and Military Operations and the Role of US Military Forces in the Gulf and US Central Command (USCENTCOM) Area of Operations

 

Living With Saddam: Reshaping US Strategy in the Middle East
Congressional Testimony given by Tony Cordesman on March 25, 1998

 

US Policy, the Southern Gulf States, and the Changing Strategic Balance in the Gulf
Speech by Anthony Cordesman to the Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference, Dubai

 

The United States, Japan, Europe and the Gulf

 

The Quadrennial Defense Review: the American Threat to the United States

 

US Investment, Trade, and Oil Interests in the Middle East

 

US Strategic Interests in the Middle East and the Process of Regional Change

 


These reports provide overviews of the economic, demographic, social, energy, and military trends, and more detailed studies of national trends. In some cases, they cover global issues, such as global energy balances, proliferation, and arms transfers.

 

The analytic models used throughout this series emphasize quantitative and trend analysis developed by the CSIS. Most reports present a combination of narrative analysis, charts and graphs on the issues concerned, and statistical tables and charts. In some cases, they provide detailed data bases on the issues involved. Where possible, the data provide comparative estimates of drawn from official sources provided by the U.S. government, and international agencies like the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, and International Energy Agency. In other cases, data are taken from leading private research organizations such as the International Institute for Strategic Studies. This choice of sources allows users and scholars to compare net assessments based on the most reliable source material available.

 

Most reports are provided in the Adobe Acrobat format to allow rapid downloading. The brief descriptions and indexes that follow provide a general description of the report, but many reports are regularly updated, and the content may vary.

 

Comments and suggestions are welcomed, letters should be sent to Professor Anthony H. Cordesman, Senior Fellow for Strategic Assessment, Suite 400, 1800 K. Street N.W., Washington, DC, 20006, USA. Users should be aware, however, that the CSIS Middle East Program is not staffed or funded to reply, to provide detailed data bases, or to respond to individual queries.

 

These reports are supplemented by a series of CSIS books on the Gulf states which deal with Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, U.S. Power Projection capabilities, and Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and the UAE. Future volumes in this series will provide a comprehensive analysis of the military and security trends in Iran, a companion volume dealing with Iraq, and a net assessment of Saudi Arabian security and stability covering political, economic and energy, demographic, and military trends.

 

In addition, several earlier studies include material developed for the CSIS Middle East Net Assessment Project. A detailed description of the lessons of the Gulf War, drawn largely from official sources is available in Anthony H. Cordesman and Abraham R. Wagner, The Lessons of Modern War, Volume IV, The Gulf War, Boulder, Westview, 1996. An analysis of the trends in the Arab-Israeli military balance, including the analysis of different war fighting contingencies and the impact of weapons of mass destruction, is available in Anthony H. Cordesman, Perilous Prospects, The Peace Process and the Arab-Israeli Balance, Boulder, Westview, 1996. A comparative analysis of the military trends in all Middle Eastern countries is available in Anthony H. Cordesman, After the Storm: The Changing Military Balance in the Middle East, Westview/Mansell, Boulder, 1993.

 

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