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BUILDING HUMAN CAPITAL IN AN AGING MEXICO (CSIS, 2005)
Today there are nine Mexican children for every Mexican elder—but by 2050, there will be as many elders as children. Building Human Capital in an Aging Mexico, a joint report of the Global Aging Initiative and Mexico Project, explores how Mexico’s looming demographic transformation will reshape its economy and society. It focuses on the labor market and human capital formation implications of the aging of Mexico’s population. Along the way, it identifies potential demographic and economic synergies between Mexico and the United States that could be leveraged for the benefit of both nations.


PROJECTING IMMIGRATION: A SURVEY OF THE CURRENT STATE OF PRACTICE AND THEORY (CSIS, 2005)
As fertility rates in the developed world decline, immigration is coming to play a decisive role in determining the long-term prospects for population growth and economic growth. Yet most official immigration projections in the United States and abroad remain ad hoc and judgmental. Projecting Immigration: A Survey of the Current State of Practice and Theory argues that much progress could be made if the rich insights offered by immigration theory and empirical research could somehow be integrated into a useable projection method. The report, which was funded by the U.S. Social Security Administration, is the first stage in a larger project aimed at developing a methodological framework for projecting international migration flows.


THE GRAYING OF THE MIDDLE KINGDOM: THE DEMOGRAPHICS AND ECONOMICS OF RETIREMENT POLICY IN CHINA (CSIS and Prudential Foundation, 2004)
By 2040 there will be 400 million Chinese elders—which is more than the total current population of France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the UK combined. The vast majority are due to reach old age without a pension or health-care coverage. The Graying of the Middle Kingdom warns that China must take decisive steps to prepare for its coming age wave or face a crisis of immense proportions later in the century. At stake is whether it achieves its aspiration of becoming a prosperous and stable developed economy.


PREPARING FOR CHINA'S AGING CHALLENGE (CSIS, 2005)
This CD, which explains how demography is about to transform China and its role in the world order, features commentaries by Zbigniew Brzezinski, Carla Hills, Henry Kissinger, and others. It was originally created for a joint CSIS and Chinese Academy of Social Sciences conference in Beijing in April 2004.



THE AGING VULNERABILITY INDEX: AN ASSESSMENT OF THE CAPACITY OF TWELVE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES TO MEET THE AGING CHALLENGE (CSIS and Watson Wyatt Worldwide, 2003) 
The CSIS Aging Vulnerability Index represents the first attempt to develop a comprehensive measure of the global aging challenge that is comparable across the developed countries. The Index not only looks at the projected growth in pay-as-you-go public pension and health-care programs like Social Security and Medicare, but also takes into account the broader social and economic environment, including the “fiscal room” that countries have to adjust to the challenge and the availability of alternative means of support, from private pensions to extended families. The bottom line is a ranking of the major developed countries in terms of their “vulnerability” to rising old-age dependency costs.


GERMANY AND THE CHALLENGE OF GLOBAL AGING (CSIS and Nationwide Global, 2003) 
Within twenty-five years, half of the adult population in Germany will be at or beyond the age of eligibility for publicly subsidized retirement benefits. Germany and the Challenge of Global Aging takes a close look at how this demographic revolution is likely to transform Germany’s economy and society. It warns that the aging of its population will heap vast new costs on public budgets—and may mean stagnating or declining living standards unless Germany renegotiates a social contract that, even after recent reforms, is due to channel an ever-rising share of society’s resources from workers to retirees.


THE GLOBAL RETIREMENT CRISIS: THE THREAT TO WORLD STABILITY AND WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT (CSIS and Citigroup, 2002) 
“The whole world is aging.” With these words, The Global Retirement Crisis launches readers on a tour of one of the defining challenges of the twenty-first century. The report explains how population global aging will restructure the economy, reshape the family, and even rearrange the world order. Along the way, it compares and contrasts the outlook in different countries and regions of the world.


GLOBAL AGING: THE CHALLENGE OF THE NEW MILLENNIUM (CSIS and Watson Wyatt Worldwide, 1999) 

 

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