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China's Balancing Act in the Gulf

Gulf Analysis Paper

August 21, 2013

China is increasingly reliant on Middle Eastern energy. Yet, China is reluctant to commit to a region in which the United States seems to have an overwhelming military and diplomatic advantage. The region’s deep divisions and swirling politics give the Chinese pause as well. Still, many Middle Eastern countries seek a greater role for China in the region, either to balance against the United States or to make the United States work harder for its alliances. Saudi Arabia accounts for one-fifth of China’s oil imports, and Saudi-Chinese non-oil trade is booming. China also imports significant amounts of oil from Iran, and it views its Iran relationship as a strategic hedge against U.S. influence. But Iran also causes problems for China—and for Chinese energy security. In the coming years, China will only grow more dependent on Middle Eastern energy, and China will face an even more challenging balancing act in the Gulf.

 

تعتمد الصين بشكل متزايد على الطاقة المتأتية من الشرق الأوسط. غير أن الصين تتردد عن الإلتزام بمنطقة تملك الولايات المتحد فيها على ما يبدو منفعة عسكرية ودبلوماسية ساحقة. كما أن الإنقسامات العميقة في المنطقة والسياسات المتقلبة تشكل دافعاً لتمهل الصينيين. على الرغم من ذلك، تسعى العديد من دول الشرق الأوسط إلى دور أهم للصين في المنطقة، إما لتحقيق التوازن مقابل الولايات المتحدة أو لدفع الولايات المتحدة على العمل أكثر لصالح تحالفاتها. تشكل حسابات المملكة العربية السعودية خم واردات الصين النفطية وتشهد التجارة السعودية - الصينية غير النفطية إزدهارا.  بالإضافة إلى ذلك، تستورد الصين كميات كبيرة من النفط من إيران وتنظر إلى هذه العلاقة كغطاء إستراتيجي يحميها من تأثير الولايات المتحدة. ولكن تسبب إيران بمشاكل للصين وتهدد أمن الطاقة الصينية. في السنوات المقبلة، ستعتمد الصين أكثر فأكثر على الطاقة من دول الشرق الأوسط كما ستواجه إقامة توازن أكثر صعوبةً في الخليج.

 

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Written By
Jon B. Alterman
Senior Vice President, Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy, and Director, Middle East Program
Media Queries

Contact H. Andrew Schwartz
Chief Communications Officer
Tel: 202.775.3242

Contact Caleb Diamond
Media Relations Manager and Editorial Associate
Tel: 202.775.3173

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