Deterrence in the Cyber Age

Part of the Global Forecast 2015

Deterrence is the threat to use military force to impose intolerable costs if an opponent takes an unacceptable action. The threat must be credible, which requires opponents to calculate whether it is serious and if potential gains outweigh the possible harm. The context for deterrence has changed markedly, from a single peer opponent to several different rivals, each with different capabilities and tolerance for risk.

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James Andrew Lewis
Senior Vice President; Pritzker Chair; and Director, Strategic Technologies Program