The Evening CSIS February 19 2015
February 19, 2015
Welcome to The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please click here.
Iran hasn’t addressed specific issues that could feed suspicions it may have researched an atomic bomb, according to a UN IAEA report obtained by Reuters.
Dive Deeper: CSIS and the Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS) today launched a new interactive website, “Governing Uranium.”
Based on the results of the Governing Uranium research project, the website allows users to explore the front end of the nuclear fuel cycle and “follow the uranium trail” from mining to conversion. It offers information, maps, and analysis on the regulatory structures and industry best practices that govern uranium production and trade across 15 uranium producing and consuming states.
Countering Violent Extremism
Speaking Thursday at the State Department as part of the three-day “White House Summit on Countering Violent Extremism,” President Obama said that the US and international coalition will “not relent” in its fight against ISIS and that countering violent extremism requires “keeping people off of the battlefield.”
TONIGHT at 5:30 p.m. EST, CSIS will host and live stream our signature Schieffer Series on the topic of “Countering Violent Extremism.”
Moderated by CBS’s Bob Schieffer, our panel discussion will feature CSIS’s Juan Zarate, former deputy national security adviser for combatting terror; Farah Pandith, adjunct senior fellow, Council on Foreign Relations and former first-ever US special representative to Muslim communities; and Nancy Youssef, Daily Beast senior national security correspondent.
Dive Deeper: The White House released this Fact Sheet regarding the White House Summit on Countering Violent Extremism.
Farah Pandith’s February 9 op-ed for the Guardian, “Women can recruit women better than ISIS can,” is a must read.
Watch and read CSIS senior adviser Juan Zarate’s latest “Flashpoints” for CBS News. According to Zarate: “The Obama administration has talked about strategic patience around this threat and, perhaps, others around the world. The reality is that this terrorist threat is morphing and adapting, perhaps, more quickly than our strategy is meeting [it].”
CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman published a new paper on Wednesday regarding trends in violent Islamic extremism, The “Clash For Civilization”: Creating an Effective Partnership in Fighting Extremism between the West and the Muslim World.
In this analysis, Dr. Cordesman points out that “The only way to permanently contain and defeat violent Islamic extremism is to create a steadily stronger partnership between Islamic and non-Islamic governments in both counterterrorist efforts and in fighting the threat of extremist insurgents.”
In that Number
Number of Civillian Casualties in Afghanistan in 2014.
Source: UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan.
Our signature “Asked & Answered” series.
Asked: With fighting ongoing in Debaltseve, can the cease-fire still hold?
Answered: Jeff Mankoff, Russia and Eurasia Program fellow and deputy director, “The major question right now is whether the separatists’ ambitions are limited to the strategically valuable railhead of Debaltseve, or whether the fighting there is part of a wider separatist offensive. The rebels’ attack on the Debaltseve salient began before the Minsk-II cease-fire was negotiated (indeed, it appears that Moscow insisted on delaying the implementation of Minsk-II to allow the separatists time to take Debaltseve). If the continued fighting around the city is merely a matter of mopping up and consolidating the rebels’ new positions, then the cease-fire negotiated at Minsk could conceivably hold. More worrying are press reports of renewed separatist attacks far from Debaltseve, including in the direction of Mariupol, a key port on the Black Sea that was the target of a major offensive ahead of the original Minsk-I cease-fire last September and whose capture would connect the areas currently under rebel control to Crimea. Last fall, the separatists largely ignored the cease-fire and continued seizing territory with Russian support, though they failed to take Mariupol. If they repeat that pattern now, all bets are off for Minsk –II.”
One to Watch
Sharon Squassoni is a senior fellow and director of the CSIS Proliferation Prevention Program and has vast experience in the areas of WMD and nonproliferation. As well as our excellent Governing Uranium project, look to her as the conversations between Iran and the P5+1 continue.
Over the course of a few months, rocks have become islands in the South China Sea as China continues its construction projects on the disputed Spratly Islands. CSIS’s Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative has exclusive images and the latest analysis here.
Internews, an important Washington-based NGO that is something of a peace corps for journalism has a new report out: Ukraine: Trapped in a Propaganda War. Abandoned. Frustrated. Stigmatized. The report explores the extent to which a lack of timely and reliable information is exacerbating the misery of internally displaced persons (IDPs), rendering them vulnerable.
Watch video of today’s events at our HQ.
Watch at 5:30 p.m.: CBS’s Bob Schieffer moderates a conversation with Juan Zarate, former deputy national security adviser for combating terror; Farah Pandith, first-ever US special representative to Muslim communities; and Nancy Youssef, senior national security correspondent, Daily Beast, for a timely conversation on “Countering Violent Extremism” following the White House summit.
As nuclear talks with Iran continue to unfold, the international process of how nuclear weapons are actually made and contained remains largely unaddressed. To help explain, CSIS launched “Governing Uranium,” a new microsite that allows users to explore the nuclear fuel cycle and follow the uranium trail from mining to conversion and from ore to bomb.
CSIS hosted current and former World Bank representatives on the challenges and opportunities facing the World Bank Group’s Program for Results two years after its inception. Click here to watch.
What’s in store at CSIS HQ tomorrow.
As China’s economic growth rate slows, CSIS will host a conversation with leading China analysts as part of its China Reality Check series, “Has the Hard Landing in China Already Started?” And is a financial crisis looming? Click here to RSVP or watch live at 10:30 a.m.
This Town Tomorrow
So many important events in this town—so little time. Of note:
The Black Cat on 14th Street will host the 39th annual Georgetown University Cabaret for a Friday night rock concert. The decades-old tradition showcases the university’s top instrumentalists and dedicates all proceeds to worthy causes. Tickets are $12 in advance or $15 at the door.
CSIS on Demand
CSIS’s Smart Women, Smart Power speaker series hosted Rula Ghani, the first lady of Afghanistan, on Wednesday night for a discussion on the future of Afghanistan. “Humanitarian assistance is not the solution,” Ms. Ghani told CSIS senior associate and Fortune Magazine columnist Nina Easton who moderated the event. “We don't need clothes. We need to get to the root of the problem.”
PRI’s The World has this excellent interview with journalist Graeme Wood who tells the story of Musa Cerantonio, an Australian whom he describes as a former-Catholic-turned-ISIS propagandist, and one of the most influential ISIS recruiters.
I Like It Like That
Eye catching things in CSIS’s orbit.
Cut.com has a fascinating video called “100 years of beauty in Iran,” which is a time lapse video of a model getting her hair and makeup done to match every decade from 1910 to 2010 per the style of the day.
There’s not a lot in the news these days to smile about. That’s why our friends at Liftbump.com are so important—they provide at least a smile a day and then some. This one caught my eye and warmed my heart on a cold day: the dogs of war are getting the retirement they deserve.
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