The Evening CSIS July 6 2015
July 6, 2015
Welcome to The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please click here and if you want to view this in your browser, click here.
Not Fade Away
The struggle against ISIS will “not be quick,” President Obama said today after being briefed by senior Pentagon officials, the Washington Post’s Missy Ryan reports.
Dive Deeper: CSIS’s new analysis 21st Century Conflict: From “Revolution in Military Affairs” (RMA) to “Revolution in Civil-Military Affairs” (RCMA) by Anthony Cordesman points out that “the US and its allies need to take account of the radical changes taking place in 21st century conflict.”
Germany stood firm against debt relief for Greece the day after the country’s voters issued a resounding “no” in a referendum where 61 percent voted against more austerity measures, signaling a possible tough fight ahead on one of the few remaining opportunities for compromise, the Wall Street Journal’s Gabrielle Steinhauser and Andrea Thomas report.
Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Heather Conley authored a new commentary today: “Who Lost Greece?”
And, Chatham House’s Paola Subacchi authored a new commentary: “Fragile Europe is Left Exposed and Unmoored by Greek Vote.”
Disputes over UN sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile program and a broader arms embargo were among issues holding up a nuclear deal in Vienna today, with the White House saying that any agreement reached with Iran over its nuclear capabilities must be in line with the framework agreement negotiators reached in April, Reuters reports.
David Sanger and Thomas Erdbrink of the New York Times report from Vienna that “a senior Iranian official said on Monday that Tehran was demanding that all United Nations sanctions against his country—including the ban on the import or export of conventional arms— be lifted as part of any deal.”
Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Simond De Galbert author a new commentary for Foreign Policy: “Why Iran Sanctions May Still Matter.”
Eyes of the World
“While the eyes of the world have been on the crisis in Greece, China, a country with 123 times its population, has faced financial troubles of its own,” reports the New York Times’ Neil Irwin in “How to Make Sense of China’s Plummeting Stock Market.”
CSIS’s Scott Kennedy authored a new commentary today: “Crisis Averted in China's Stock Markets for Now.”
In that Number
The percentage of unemployed youth in Greece.
Asked: What role has the US played so far in the Greek crisis?
Answered: Heather Conley, senior vice president for Europe, Eurasia, and the Arctic and director of the Europe Program at CSIS:
The United States, watching somewhat nervously from afar, has done very little. After a drop in the US stock market last week, the White House spokesman assured Americans that “U.S. exposure to Greece is small,” and President Obama has urged “all sides to contribute to pragmatic discussions.” This from the same country that had the vision of the Truman and Marshall Plans that stemmed Communism in Greece and rebuilt Europe, despite its own domestic exhaustion from the Second World War. Some have suggested that the United States is a “helpless bystander” to this modern Greek tragedy, but in reality, the United States has become an increasingly detached, indifferent, and self-absorbed power, which has expended enormous blood and treasure over the past century to support European stability but now seems perfectly contented to walk away. America is a European power in the sense that much of its economic, political, and military strength is amplified by a strong Europe and reduced by a weakened Europe. America’s geopolitical and geoeconomic exposure to the impact of events in Greece and Europe today are great—a reality that President Harry Truman and Secretary of State George Marshall understood so well, but which seems lost on this generation of US leaders.
So in the end, who lost Greece? The answer is not simple, but for decades a succession of Greek governments and European leaders have believed that only never-ending economic integration would forever politically bind European nations, but they never fully understood that an incomplete monetary union comprised of divergent economies could quickly unravel political solidarity. Continued American indifference only deepens and contributes to this continuing Greek and European tragedy.
One to Watch
Scott Kennedy is the director of the Project on Chinese Business and Political Economy at CSIS and the deputy director of our Freeman Chair in China Studies. Scott is a leading voice on the Chinese economy and as China continues to play a pivotal role in maintaining global stability, look to him to explain the complexities of the unique Chinese economic system.
The Atlantic’s “Seeing the World Through the Eyes of Chimpanzees” where CFR’s Farah Pandith cites Jane Goodall as a figure who helped her learn the value of different perspectives.
Under Secretary Michelle K. Lee, a principal adviser to President Obama on intellectual property matters, joined CSIS for a discussion on the “State of US Patent Reform.”
CSIS will host leading think tank experts for a discussion on Japanese-South Korean cooperation on North Korea policy and other issues in the region following the 50th anniversary of the normalization of diplomatic relations between the two countries. Watch live at 10:30 a.m.
And as Boko Haram continues to terrorize Nigeria, CSIS will host a conversation on how Nigeria’s democracy and governance is moving forwar d to help strengthen the nation.
This Town Tomorrow
Defense Secretary Ash Carter and Joint Chiefs Chairman Martin Dempsey will testify before the Senate Armed Services Committee for a high-profile hearing on the US strategy against ISIL.
CSIS on Demand
Last week, CSIS hosted a fascinating and timely discussion on degrading and defeating ISIS with the Washington Post’s David Ignatius and former CIA deputy director Stephen Kappes. This is their take.
Above: David Ignatius (left) and director of the CSIS Transnational Threats Project Tom Sanderson.
NPR’s Nurith Aizenman reports on the successors to the Millennium Development Goals that aim to tackle global poverty all the way to 2030.
I Like It Like That
ICYMI. I did. And I really liked it. Read “How Television Won the Internet” a New York Times op-ed by Michael Wolff.
“Fare you well, fare you well, I love you more than words can tell…” go the sweet lyrics to “Brokedown Palace” by the Grateful Dead—who, hung it up last night after 50 years as a band (30 of them with the incomparable Jerry Garcia who died in 1995). If you are a fan, you will have noticed that the titles to all news headlines at the top of tonight’s Evening CSIS are Grateful Dead song titles in honor of America’s greatest rock and roll band. Bob Dylan said of Jerry Garcia when he died “He had no equal, really.”
The end of the Dead was so big last night that world leaders commented on it, faring them well.
Yes, some people thought it was the ultimate sellout by what is/was left of the band—and indeed they raked in hundreds of millions. Others loved it, celebrated it, embraced it and accepted the fact that if anyone should be allowed to sell out it is the Grateful Dead—who gave so much of it away for free. Scholars will be studying the band, its culture and its business strategies for hundreds of years. There is a permanent archive at the University of California, Santa Cruz devoted to this study.
But what was the Grateful Dead at its very core? I will tell you. They were an unparalleled group of musicians who embraced American roots music beginning with the blues of the American south. Watch this clip from the film “Festival Express” of the band performing in 1970. The late Jerry Garcia sings “New Speedway Boogie” while the menacing looking but by all accounts gentle soul, the late Ron “Pigpen” McKernan (another original member of the band) blows harp
Nothing left to do but smile, smile, smile. (They’re) gone.
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