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Place Your Bets! Crowdsourcing the Defense Budget Question by Ryan Crotty
Think tanks are often asked to provide forecasts aimed at helping policymakers anticipate and plan for “what lies ahead,” but there is a growing body of literature on the wisdom of crowds. So, we at ISP are turning the forecasting question back on our audience, conducting our first attempt at seeking the wisdom of the crowd on one specific national security topic—the U.S. defense budget.
PONI Expands and Looks to the Future by Rebecca Hersman
In 2003, a group of senior leaders in the U.S. nuclear community acknowledged a hard fact: the nuclear expert community was aging and retiring at an alarming rate; the pipeline to replace them was disturbingly empty; and future challenges and conditions of the global security environment required fresh, creative solutions.
Building a Relative Risk Methodology to Inform Decisionmaking by Adam Cox
Government and privatve been pressing the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), various federal, state, and local agencies, as well as private-sector infrastructure owners to calculate and rank the risks associated with their homeland security missions since the earliest days of the department.
The Coming Railgun Deployment Gap by Rhys McCormick
As many observers have noted, the Navy’s new distributed lethality strategy requires the procurement of a multitude of missiles. While missiles are likely to remain at the core of this strategy in the near term, a cheaper long-term potential option exists: the electromagnetic railgun (EMRG).