Analysis

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Commentary
Idlib Test for Erdogan-Putin Relationship
February 28, 2020 | Bulent Aliriza The killing of 33 Turkish soldiers by Assad’s forces in Idlib on February 27 has not only escalated the conflict between Ankara and Damascus but also tensions between Ankara and Moscow. CSIS’s Turkey Project examines the future of Erdogan and Putin’s relationship.

Commentary
Erdogan's Libyan Gambit
January 24, 2020 | Bulent Aliriza President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has inserted Turkey into the escalating Libyan civil war on the side of the embattled government in Tripoli. CSIS’s Turkey Project examines his motives and prospects of success in a new commentary.

Commentary
Erdogan and Trump at the NATO Summit: Another Display of Solidarity
December 5, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza This week’s summit in London provided a new opportunity for Erdogan and Trump to showcase their friendship despite growing pressure within NATO and Congress for a stronger reaction to Turkish moves.

Commentary
Trump-Erdogan Meeting: Abiding Friendship, Continuing Problems
November 15, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza President Trump’s friendship with Turkish President Erdogan was on full display during a five-hour meeting at the White House on November 13.

Critical Questions
Congress Rebukes Erdogan, Defies Trump
October 30, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza argues that by adopting two important resolutions against Turkey on October 29, Congress has inserted itself into the U.S.-Turkey relationship, making it more difficult for Erdogan and Trump to maintain it through their friendship.

Commentary
U.S.-Turkey Relations: Summer Doldrums, Autumn Storms?
August 29, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza

Although the Trump-Erdogan friendship remains intact, the expected revival of calls for sanctions on Turkey for acquiring a Russian missile system when Congress returns next month will challenge U.S.-Turkish relations. CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza examines the path forward.

Commentary
Trump-Erdogan Meeting at the G20: End of the S-400 Crisis?
July 3, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza The Trump-Erdogan meeting at the G20 summit has strengthened hopes in Ankara that Turkey will not be subjected to U.S. sanctions after the imminent delivery of the Russian S-400 missiles. CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza examines its implications for U.S.-Turkish relations.

Commentary
Erdogan Loses Istanbul: Reasons and Implications
June 25, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza The unexpected victory of the opposition candidate in Istanbul’s repeat mayoral election on June 23 constitutes a major defeat for President Erdogan and the AKP. The CSIS Turkey Project examines the reasons and its implications.

Critical Questions
Erdogan’s Electoral Setback and Its Aftermath
April 2, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza Following the surprising setback to President Erdogan and his party in Turkish local elections on March 31, CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza examines the reasons for the reversal and its political implications.

Commentary
Erdogan’s New ‘Existential’ Test: Municipal Elections on March 31
March 29, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza President Erdogan has characterized the Turkish local elections on March 31, which are taking place in an economic downturn, as existential and effectively transformed them into a personal referendum. The new Turkey Project commentary examines the prospects.

Commentary
The Turkish Economic Slowdown in 2018
March 20, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza

With official figures released earlier this month confirming that the Turkish economy had experienced its sharpest reversal in a decade and entered a technical recession, the CSIS Turkey Project analyzes what this means in terms of the country’s economic future.

Commentary
Erdogan Takes Total Control of “New Turkey”
July 18, 2018 | Bulent Aliriza

In virtually all his comments since July 9, Erdogan has emphasized the imperative of making government function more efficiently and rapidly in line with the requirements of “New Turkey.”

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