Analysis

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Report
Stabilization Assistance amid Geopolitical Competition: A Case Study of Eastern Syria
January 12, 2021 | Daphne McCurdy Using eastern Syria as a case study, this CSIS brief examines how U.S. stabilization assistance can potentially serve as a tool in geopolitical competition by supporting locally legitimate political actors to stand up against external meddling.

Commentary
Seeking a Path to Europe, Refugees and Migrants Ultimately Turned Back by Covid-19
April 2, 2020 | Erol Yayboke, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. Confrontations between Greek forces and thousands trying to enter Europe erupted after Turkey opened its side of the border to refugees. Temporary resolution came only as fears of the spread of Covid-19 forced the refugees to return to other parts of Turkey.

Report
Iraq as a Failed State
November 12, 2019 | Anthony H. Cordesman Iraq shows all too many signs of returning to the kind of internal instability that led to low level civil war in 2011 and the rise of ISIS, and that undercut any efforts to bring stability and defeat extremism in all of America’s military efforts in the region.

Critical Questions
Lebanon’s Government Collapses
October 30, 2019 | Jon B. Alterman CSIS’s Jon Alterman analyzes the implications of the collapse of the Lebanese government following Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s resignation on October 29.

Commentary
Why Iraq is “Burning”
October 25, 2019 | Anthony H. Cordesman Iraq shows all too many signs of returning to the kind of internal instability that led to low level civil war in 2011 and the rise of ISIS, and that undercut any efforts to bring stability and defeat extremism in all of America’s military efforts in the region.

Commentary
Syria: Looking Beyond the Kurdish Crisis to Long Term Instability and a Near Certain Future of Civil Violence
October 21, 2019 | Anthony H. Cordesman Today’s crisis in Syria can only be addressed by treating the cause of its instability and not just the symptoms of it. In the meantime, no actors in the region are willing to engage that hard truth.

Commentary
Trump-Erdogan Meeting at the G20: End of the S-400 Crisis?
July 3, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza The Trump-Erdogan meeting at the G20 summit has strengthened hopes in Ankara that Turkey will not be subjected to U.S. sanctions after the imminent delivery of the Russian S-400 missiles. CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza examines its implications for U.S.-Turkish relations.

Commentary
The Art of Unraveling the Deal
May 10, 2019

A year after the United States withdrew from the JCPOA, Iran threatens to follow suit unless it reaps the sanction relief benefits it was promised under the deal. CSIS’s Hijab Shah and Sarah Minot Asrar examine possible ramifications from this unraveling going forward.

Commentary
Rubble, Refugees, and Syria's Periphery
March 25, 2019 | Jon B. Alterman

Bashar al-Assad may seek to use the refugee crisis in neighboring states as leverage to get international support to rebuild Syria.

Critical Questions
Why Algeria’s Protests Are Different This Time
March 8, 2019

Algeria is witnessing mass demonstrations against President Bouteflika’s candidacy for a fifth term in office. CSIS’s Haim Malka explains how these demonstrations differ from those in previous years, and outlines various challenges facing the country’s powerbrokers.

Commentary
Beyond Algeria’s Presidential Election
February 13, 2019

Regardless of the outcome of Algeria's next presidential election, what matters is whether the country’s powerbrokers can build a consensus to address widespread socioeconomic grievances.

Commentary
Losing on All Fronts: The Mattis Resignation and Trump’s Failed Strategies for America’s Wars
December 20, 2018 | Anthony H. Cordesman

The President’s decision was based on a fundamentally wrong strategic assumption: ISIS is not defeated and still has a significant presence in Syria and Iraq.

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