New Policy Direction on Cuba in Global Forecast: the Top Security Challenges of 2008
November 14, 2007
The succession in power from Fidel Castro to his brother Raúl appears to be a done deal, but the evolution away from fidelismo will start only upon the death of its namesake. When that happens, Raúl Castro steps out from behind the shadow of his flamboyant sibling and the beginning of a transition process to a new order in Cuba may commence. Since 1961 the United States has pursued policies based on attempting to isolate, contain, and weaken the Castro regime through its economic embargo and by marshalling diplomatic resources to oppose it. Particularly since the end of the Cold War, support for a return to democracy and respect for fundamental rights in Cuba have been the justification for maintaining and even tightening these policies. That such efforts have had no effect on improving the condition of human and civil rights in Cuba is manifestly clear. With the coming to power of Raúl Castro it is time for the United States to chart a different course if it wants to promote a transition to democracy in Cuba.
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