Seeking Harbors in the Storm
February 27, 2015
In Chapter 1 of Rocky Harbors: Taking Stock of the Middle East in 2015, Jon B. Alterman provides a strategic overview of where the region is coming from, where it is today, and how it might change in the years ahead.
This volume comes at a time of profound uncertainty about the future of political life in the Middle East. Where some see an interregnum in efforts by younger and more connected populations to push for inclusion, others see a region coming to its senses after a moment of irrational exuberance. Some see a state system that is increasingly weary, while others see a state system fortified by the knowledge that its demise would bring chaos. The events of the last five years suggest that regional politics are interconnected, but the manner of their interconnections is a source of constant surprise. While it is impossible to predict their direction, the last five years have helped us understand some of the key variables, and what to notice.