No form of analysis is more dangerous than prophecy, and this is particularly true in
trying to predict the broader impact of the Iraq War on the Middle East.
Neoconservatives have rushed out to talk about fundamental changes in the region that
will put an end of old regimes and many of the region’s tensions and conflicts. Arabists
have put on the cloak of Samuel Huntingdon and have warned of clashes of civilization
and a rise of terrorism.