A new CSIS report “Defusing the South China Sea Disputes: A Regional Blueprint” presents a workable model agreement to manage the South China Sea disputes, reached by consensus among dozens of top experts from Asia, the United States, and beyond.
Moscow continues to wage an offensive information campaign designed, in the words of the U.S. Director of National Intelligence, to “weaken and divide the United States.” But Washington has been reactive, slow to respond, and focused on defensive measures.
This brief highlights three major factors that will shape the future of instability in Syria post-Idlib. By focusing on these trends post-Idlib, the United States and the international community must develop a new approach to Syria moving forward.
July 26, 2018
| Seth G. JonesIt would be unnecessarily risky for the United States to move too quickly away from countering terrorists while the threat is still high, allowing groups and networks to resurge.
An escalating war has the potential to cause significant economic damage, lead to high numbers of civilian casualties and internally displaced persons, and involve more countries in the region than did the 2006 Lebanon War.
April 4, 2018
| Seth G. Jones, Maxwell B. MarkusenAs the Islamic State’s control of territory in Iraq, Syria, and other countries declines, al Qaeda has attempted to resurge and reposition itself at the center of global Salafi-jihadist activity.
The finger pointing about transparency shouldn’t hide the fact that there is already a lot of information to assess the state of the war. The bigger challenge is understanding which indicators are most important to objectively collect, analyze, and—yes—even debate.