The U.S. State Department issued its latest annual report on terrorism on August 19, 2018. The report updates its past estimates to cover 2017 and provides a separate Annex of Statistical Information that summarizes the global trends in terrorism.
No two countries have been as generous to Yemen in the last year as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which pledged billions of dollars in aid to the poor and embattled country on the tip of the Arabian Peninsula.
August 15, 2018
| Alice Hunt FriendThe United States must scale its resourcing to meet its policy objectives, but these objectives must themselves be tailored to realistic threat assessments. Changes to U.S. presence affect U.S. preparation to face the next crisis.
Let’s hope the administration understands the limits of its high-risk tactics and is closely monitoring the potential for spillovers. Vulnerable economies may not be the only ones disciplined by financial markets.
The new Administration seems to have accepted the legacy of the previous Administration by largely abandoning the civil side of each war. It is dealing with major insurgencies and civil war as if they were limited terrorist movements.
August 9, 2018
| Melissa DaltonThe United States must determine its sources of leverage, articulate its goals, connect those goals to a stabilization framework, and operationalize burden sharing under an eastern Syria framework.
August 8, 2018
| Anthony H. CordesmanThe trends in terrorism and extremism are only one part of this problem, and part of the lack of any clear grand strategy that can offer the U.S. a credible probability of lasting victory in its wars – if "victory" is defined a stable, friendly postwar state.
August 8, 2018
| Andrew J. Stanley, Sarah Ladislaw, Frank A. VerrastroThe complex geopolitical, economic, and logistical considerations involved make it very difficult to predict how much Iranian oil will ultimately come off the market and estimates vary widely.