Analysis

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Critical Questions
The U.S.-Japan Trade Deal
September 25, 2019 | Matthew P. Goodman, Dylan Gerstel, Nicholas Szechenyi, Michael J. Green After a year of negotiations, the United States and Japan announced an initial trade agreement on September 25. CSIS experts explain what was agreed to, why it matters, and what comes next.

Critical Questions
Vice President Pence Goes to Asia
November 9, 2018 | Amy Searight, Matthew P. Goodman, William Alan Reinsch There are some key reasons why we think the president’s absence matters. As Woody Allen said, “80 percent of success is showing up,” and nowhere is that more true than Southeast Asia, as CSIS experts Amy Searight, Matthew Goodman, William Reinsch write in their CQ piece.

Critical Questions
WTO Reform: The Beginning of the End or the End of the Beginning?
October 23, 2018 | Jack Caporal, Dylan Gerstel The growing frustration among WTO member states has triggered an effort to reform the organization—what U.S. ambassador to the WTO Dennis Shea termed “the Autumn of WTO reform,” as Jack Caporal from Scholl Chair and Dylan Gerstel from Simon Chair write in a joint CQ piece.

Critical Questions
Treasury Forgoes Labels but Singles Out China for Criticism
October 18, 2018 | Stephanie Segal

Treasury’s decision not to label China as a currency manipulator in its latest semiannual currency report may reflect its aim to preserve the report’s credibility, as Stephanie Segal from CSIS Simon Chair writes in a new CQ piece.

Critical Questions
USMCA Currency Provisions Set a New Precedent
October 5, 2018 | Stephanie Segal

The addition of a chapter on macroeconomic and exchange rate policies in USMCA could serve as a precedent for future U.S. trade agreements with other trading partners as Stephanie Segal, Simon Chair deputy director and senior fellow, writes in a new CQ piece.

Critical Questions
China Trade War Escalation? Where to from Here?
August 24, 2018 | Stephanie Segal, Jack Caporal

The coming weeks and months may mark a potential decision point in the bilateral trade war. 

Commentary
The United States and IMF Resources—A Path Forward?
July 12, 2018 | Mark Sobel The Group of Twenty (G20) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for several years have committed to complete work on an IMF quota review by the spring of 2019 and no later than the fall of 2019.

Commentary
Argentina and Reputational Risks: Hats Off to the IMF and U.S. Treasury
June 12, 2018 | Mark Sobel

The IMF’s deft handling of the situation so far is helping Argentina restore market stability and showing that the Fund can be tactically smart and wise.

Critical Questions
Key Drivers for the Abe-Trump Summit: Mar-a-Lago, Round Two
April 13, 2018 | Michael J. Green, Matthew P. Goodman, Victor Cha, Nicholas Szechenyi The Japanese public is used to seeing the two leaders getting along, but this third summit will take place amid uncertainty about the degree to which Abe and Trump are strategically aligned on North Korea and trade policy.

Critical Questions
Section 301, Tariffs, and Chinese Trade and Investment
March 23, 2018 | Stephanie Segal, William Alan Reinsch

The Trump administration has responded to China’s apparent Section 301 violations by imposing new tariffs, restricting Chinese investment in technologies, and launching a WTO case. China will almost certainly retaliate.

Commentary
Cohn’s Departure Spells Trouble for Trade
March 12, 2018 | Kevin Nealer
People are policy, whether in Washington or Asia. The resignation of the chief White House economic adviser, Gary Cohn, affirms that principle.

Critical Questions
From TPP to CPTPP
March 8, 2018 | Matthew P. Goodman

The CPTPP represents a significant step toward closer trade and investment linkages in the Asia-Pacific region and sets new, high standards for regional commerce. Its eventual ratificaction will likely yield positive and negative ramifications for U.S. economic interests.

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