Analysis

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Commentary
Winning the Interdiction Fight in Ukraine
April 28, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen The next phase of the war will be decided in western Ukraine along the roads, airports, and rail lines connecting the nation to Europe. If Ukraine can protect these lines of communication, Kyiv has a chance to deny Russian military gains and force a political settlement.

Commentary
How to Win the Battle in Eastern Ukraine
April 14, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen Russian forces are preparing for a large battle in eastern Ukraine to defeat the Ukrainian army and use terrain as a bargaining chip at the negotiating table. Kyiv should transition from a defensive war and conduct localized counterattacks to limit Russia’s advance.

Commentary
Zelensky’s 1 Percent Solution for Tanks and Aircraft: A Bold but Unfortunately Unworkable Idea
April 1, 2022 | Mark F. Cancian Ukraine's president Volodymyr Zelensky has begged Europe for 1 percent of its tanks and planes. It is an innovative and heartfelt proposal, but logistical barriers make such an approach unworkable.

Commentary
The Two Sides of Deterrence in Ukraine
March 30, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen Ukraine is a triumph and failure for deterrence. NATO and Kyiv successfully confined the war to Ukraine but failed to prevent Russia from invading. Policymakers must use lessons from Ukraine to refine integrated deterrence in the upcoming National Defense Strategy.

Critical Questions
Considering the No-Fly Zone Prospects in Ukraine
March 30, 2022 | Matthew Strohmeyer, Christopher Reid, Grace Hwang While the prospect of creating a no-fly zone over Ukraine may signal defensive resolve of the United States and NATO against Russia, it is rife with the potential for unintended consequences.

Commentary
Send In the Swarm
March 24, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen The announcement that the United States will send switchblade drones into Ukraine reflects the changing character of war and the importance of swarming. Expanding arms transfers to include more swarming systems can help Kyiv break the Russian sieges on Ukrainian cities.

Commentary
Preparing for the Next Phase of the Russian War
March 16, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen The United States and its partners should prepare for the next phase of the Russian war in Ukraine and ultimately reduce Russia's advantages in future competition.

Commentary
Send Missiles Not Planes
March 9, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen The United States and its allies should support Ukraine by expanding on existing weapons transfer programs—specifically by sending missiles instead of planes.

Commentary
Why Ukrainian Cities Need Humanitarian Corridors
March 8, 2022 | Benjamin Jensen Creating humanitarian corridors in Ukraine will both address the humanitarian need and increase Ukrainian resilience in a protracted conflict.

Report
Russia’s Losing Hand in Ukraine
February 18, 2022 | Seth G. Jones, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. The United States and its partners and allies should be prepared to support Ukraine by exploiting Russian weaknesses and raising the financial and military costs of meddling in Ukraine, according to a new analysis by the CSIS Transnational Threats Project.

Commentary
Scenario Analysis on a Ukrainian Insurgency
February 15, 2022 | Emily Harding With Russia looking likely to invade Ukraine soon, Europe may soon have to decide whether to provide support for a Ukrainian insurgency. This commentary examines the challenges and benefits for NATO members of supporting an insurgency in Ukraine.

Report
Russia's Gamble in Ukraine
January 27, 2022 | Seth G. Jones, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. Moscow has prepared a growing number of army, navy, and air force units for a possible invasion of Ukraine while also increasing irregular activities like cyber operations and subversion. If peace talks fail, escalation may include measures that are global in nature.

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