Analysis

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Commentary
Pompeo’s 11th Hour Change in Taiwan Policy Does Taipei No Favors
January 15, 2021 | Michael J. Green, Bonnie S. Glaser U.S. policy toward Taiwan should be determined through deliberate consideration of the objectives being served and the risks and benefits involved, not last-minute announcements.

Commentary
The U.S. Alliance with the Philippines
December 3, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Gregory B. Poling The Biden administration will face hard choices regarding the U.S.-Philippine alliance, which is under severe strain. Pushing too hard for U.S. access could provoke a backlash, but playing it safe risks inviting China to test the limits of the weakened alliance.

Commentary
Biden Can Engage Southeast Asia and Still Promote Good Governance
November 13, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Gregory B. Poling The Biden administration will face a contradiction in U.S. objectives in Southeast Asia. While the United States should expand engagement in Southeast Asia to reinforce resilience against coercion by Beijing, democratic governance in much of the region is deteriorating.

Commentary
Suga in Southeast Asia: Japan's Emergence as a Regional Security Hub
October 27, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Gregory B. Poling Japan’s Yoshihide Suga made his first overseas trip as prime minister last week. Suga’s visit to Hanoi and Jakarta is another reminder that the traditional U.S. “hub-and-spokes” alliance system is transforming for the better.

Report
Toward a Stronger U.S.-Taiwan Relationship
October 21, 2020 | Bonnie S. Glaser, Michael J. Green This task force report explains why Taiwan matters to the U.S., the framework for U.S. policy toward Taiwan, and the trends that affect a variety of aspects of U.S. policy toward Taiwan.

Commentary
Assessing the Direction of South Korea-Japan Relations in a New Era
October 6, 2020 | Michael J. Green South Korean president Moon and new Japanese prime minister Suga could combat the long-lasting impasse in South Korea-Japan relations, but the complex and volatile tradition of diplomacy between the two countries makes for an arduous road ahead.

Critical Questions
Yoshihide Suga—Japan’s New Leader
September 14, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Nicholas Szechenyi Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party elected Yoshihide Suga to succeed Shinzo Abe as prime minister. The CSIS Japan Chair previews Suga’s likely priorities and assesses the potential for continuity during a period of transition in Japanese politics.

Critical Questions
Shinzo Abe’s Decision to Step Down
August 28, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Nicholas Szechenyi On August 28, 2020, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan announced he would resign due to a recurring illness. The CSIS Japan Chair assessed next steps for Japanese politics and the prospects for carrying forward Abe’s main legacy: demonstrating that Japan can lead.

Report
Powers, Norms, and Institutions: The Future of the Indo-Pacific from a Southeast Asia Perspective
June 9, 2020 | Michael J. Green, Amy Searight In this late-2019 survey of strategic elites in Southeast Asia and the Pacific, CSIS finds divergent views over Chinese influence, and concern for U.S.-China strategic competition and climate change. ASEAN is seen as the key regional institution for collective action.

Commentary
Options on Hong Kong: A Suggested NSC Memo
June 2, 2020 | Jude Blanchette, Victor Cha, Bonnie S. Glaser, Michael J. Green, Scott Kennedy Beijing’s decision to pass a national security law that could impose restrictions on Hong Kong citizens’ civil liberties presents the United States and the international community with hard choices. CSIS Asia experts outline U.S. policy options in a notional NSC memo.

Commentary
The Pandemic Won’t Make China the World’s Leader
April 15, 2020 | Michael J. Green Few countries are buying the model or the message from Beijing, writes Michael J. Green and Evan S. Medeiros.

Commentary
Geopolitical Scenarios for Asia after COVID-19
March 31, 2020 | Michael J. Green CSIS’s Michael J. Green explores how the COVID-19 pandemic and related economic shocks could impact the balance of power in Asia.

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