Analysis

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Commentary
Who Is Responsible for Mitigating the Effects of Climate Change in Russia?
January 14, 2021 As environmental disasters mount in Russia, who is responsible for managing climate change?

Commentary
Climate Change Will Reshape Russia
January 13, 2021 | Cyrus Newlin, Heather A. Conley As Russia warms faster than the rest of the world, climate change will shape its strategic future.

Commentary
A Kinder, Gentler Bear? Why Rumors of Russia’s Post-Soviet Retreat Are Premature
December 17, 2020 | Jeffrey Mankoff Claims of Russia’s post-imperial retreat are premature. Moscow’s response to crises in Belarus and Nagorno-Karabakh show that it has become more nuanced in its pursuit of regional influence as it navigates the entry of new great power actors.

Critical Questions
The Air and Missile War in Nagorno-Karabakh: Lessons for the Future of Strike and Defense
December 8, 2020 | Shaan Shaikh, Wes Rumbaugh The combined use of drones, artillery, and missiles in the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh offers critical insight into the conduct of future wars.

Commentary
Sticking Together or Drifting Apart: The Future of Franco-British Defense Cooperation
October 28, 2020 | Rachel Ellehuus, Pierre Morcos As the 10th anniversary of the Lancaster House treaties approaches, Franco-British military cooperation is under strain. CSIS’s Rachel Ellehuus and Pierre Morcos outline how this partnership will be key for the future of European security and defense.

Critical Questions
The Implications of the Poisoning of Alexey Navalny
September 10, 2020 | Pierre Morcos, Cyrus Newlin Russia’s leading opposition figure Alexey Navalny was poisoned with the banned chemical nerve agent Novichok. CSIS’s Pierre Morcos and Cyrus Newlin outline how the European Union might respond and what this incident says about the state of Russian politics.

Commentary
Trump and Putin's Pandemic Duet: Trump's America Is Far More out of Tune
August 21, 2020 | Judyth Twigg, J. Stephen Morrison Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump share a Covid-19 response playbook that has led each country into deep trouble. Yet historic failures of leadership in the United States have led to runaway outbreaks and staggering death counts that far outrace Russia’s.

Commentary
The Belarusian Mirror on the Russian Wall
August 4, 2020 | Vladislav Inozemtsev, Cyrus Newlin, Heather A. Conley Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko faces a burgeoning opposition and his toughest challenge in 26 years ahead of August 9 elections. How will Russia respond?

Commentary
Patterns of Dissent in Russia’s Regions
July 17, 2020 | Cyrus Newlin The Kremlin’s next political challenge may be emerging patterns of dissent in Russia’s Arctic and Far East regions.

Commentary
Moscow’s Next Front: Russia’s Expanding Military Footprint in Libya
June 17, 2020 | Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. Libya has emerged as Russia’s latest expeditionary front and deployment area for private military companies, including Wagner Group. Recent battlefield operations are revealing the strengths and weaknesses of Moscow’s evolving proxy warfare strategy.

Commentary
Responding to a Pandemic, Putin Trades Russia’s Future for His Own
May 27, 2020 | Cyrus Newlin, Heather A. Conley The economic fallout of Covid-19 will change the terms on which Putin enters a new political era, presenting him with a series of politically risky choices that have no good answer.  

Critical Questions
Decoding the Latest U.S. Report on Arms Control: Are Russia and China Really Cheating?
April 17, 2020 | Rebecca Hersman Here are five critical questions and takeaways that can be learned from the State Department’s executive summary of the 2020 Compliance Review, including specific concerns that Russia and China may have conducted nuclear tests in 2019.

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