Analysis

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Commentary
About that Counter-Iran Coalition…
July 30, 2019 | Jon B. Alterman The Trump administration called for help, but Washington's friends have shrugged and calculated it is safer to stay away from "maximum pressure." There is a better way.

Report
Niger: A Bulwark against Further Instability in West Africa
July 24, 2019 | Daniel Mahanty The past year has witnessed an increase in violence within some of the border regions of Niger. The Nigerien government and its international partners have an opportunity to improve security but should take care to avoid steps that could make things worse.

Report
Iran May be the Threat but Iraq is the Prize
July 23, 2019 | Anthony H. Cordesman The maritime crisis in the Gulf—and its threat to the global economy—has captured the attention of policymakers. However, the United States should recognize that a strong and independent Iraq is the most immediate key to creating a stable balance of power in the region.

Commentary
Oil Markets, Oil Attacks, and the Strategic Straits
July 19, 2019 | John Schaus The CSIS International Security and Energy Programs examine recent oil facility and tanker attacks in the Middle East and consider how the U.S. strategy to protect energy flows from the region is evolving.

Commentary
Risks to Watch in 2019: Q3 Update
July 18, 2019 | Samuel Brannen

The CSIS Risk and Foresight Group examines risks to watch in Q3 2019, from continued U.S.-Iran tensions to deepfakes.

Report
Dangerous Liaisons: Russian Cooperation with Iran in Syria
July 16, 2019 | Seth G. Jones, Nicholas Harrington, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. The CSIS Transnational Threats Project’s analysis of satellite imagery of T-4 Airbase in Syria indicates that preventing further Iranian expansion in the Middle East will be difficult without increasing pressure on Moscow.

Commentary
Coup-proofing? Making Sense of Turkey’s S-400 Decision
July 15, 2019 | Tom Karako CSIS’s Tom Karako examines President Erdogan’s motivations for acquiring the Russian S-400 air defense system.

Commentary
Trump-Erdogan Meeting at the G20: End of the S-400 Crisis?
July 3, 2019 | Bulent Aliriza The Trump-Erdogan meeting at the G20 summit has strengthened hopes in Ankara that Turkey will not be subjected to U.S. sanctions after the imminent delivery of the Russian S-400 missiles. CSIS’s Bulent Aliriza examines its implications for U.S.-Turkish relations.

Critical Questions
Iran’s Latest Nuclear Provocation: What it Means, What Comes Next.
July 1, 2019 | Eric Brewer

On July 1, Iran announced it breached some of the limits imposed by the nuclear deal and has threatened to go further if remaining deal participants will not provide sufficient economic benefits. CSIS’s Eric Brewer breaks down why this matters and what to expect next.

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