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Wargaming Nuclear Deterrence and Its Failures in a U.S.–China Conflict over Taiwan

A new report informed by 15 wargame simulations examines nuclear dynamics in a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, assessing what creates the greatest pressure for nuclear weapons use in such a conflict, what happens if nuclear weapons are used, and potential off-ramps.

Report by Mark F. Cancian, Matthew F. Cancian, and Eric Heginbotham — December 13, 2024

Strengthening Resilience in Taiwan

Taiwan has taken important steps to strengthen resilience over the last several years. However, the threat it faces is significant, and it falls short in many important dimensions of resilience.

Report by Daniel Byman, Seth G. Jones, and Jude Blanchette — December 11, 2024

Does Ukraine Already Have Functional CJADC2 Technology?

Ukrainian situational awareness system Delta offers a model for Western militaries to consider when developing CJADC2 systems. It demonstrates how battlefield-driven innovation, AI integration, and allied collaboration can create effective command-and-control ecosystems.

Report by Kateryna Bondar — December 11, 2024

The Underdog Superpower

Responding to a Taiwan contingency will force military leaders to adopt tactics they haven't considered in generations—those of a scrappy underdog. And they tend to work.  

Report by Scott Pence — December 6, 2024

Europe, Beyond Its Southern Border

Widespread instability and the growing influence of China and Russia has increased the strategic importance of the Sahel to European security. A reset in relations between Europe and the region is direly needed.

Report by Carlota G. Encina — December 4, 2024

Moldova in the Digital Age

A focus on cybersecurity is especially important as the Moldovan government continues its efforts to digitize more systems and to support the growth of the technology sector.  It is also vital given the significant uptick in cyberattacks in the country.

Report by Daniel F. Runde, Leah Kieff, and Thomas Bryja — December 4, 2024

Starvation Crimes and International Law: A New Era

Indiscriminate bombing of civilian infrastructure. Denial of humanitarian assistance. Medieval sieges of populations centers. The world is facing a global food crisis—and the unlawful use of starvation as a weapon of modern warfare is making it worse. 

Report by Chase Sova — December 4, 2024