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2024 Global Forecast: Conflict Zones

In the third installment of the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—CSIS experts offer their views on what to expect on the battlefield in 2024, from the outlook for Ukraine to critical questions about the long-term consequences of the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Digital Report by Mark F. Cancian, Max Bergmann, and Maria Snegovaya, Romina Bandura, Kathleen McInnis, Elizabeth Hoffman, Eliot A. Cohen, Daniel Byman, Jon B. Alterman, Natasha Hall, Emily Harding, Craig Cohen, Alex Kisling — February 2, 2024

2024 Global Forecast: Winning the Economic and Tech Race

The contours of global economic and tech competition are rapidly evolving. In this second installment of the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—CSIS scholars explore what is needed to enhance U.S. competitiveness on trade, manufacturing, and energy & climate security.

Digital Report by James Andrew Lewis, Emily Benson, William Alan Reinsch, Sujai Shivakumar, Joseph Majkut, Ben Cahill, Ilaria Mazzocco, Craig Cohen, and Alex Kisling — January 30, 2024

2024 Global Forecast: The China Challenge

In the first installment of the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—experts examine the myriad challenges facing U.S.-China relations in 2024, from Chinese military activity and economic coercion to competition for tech dominance and geopolitical standing.

Digital Report by Victor Cha, Gregory C. Allen, Scott Kennedy, Seth G. Jones, Kari A. Bingen, and Heather Williams, Tom Karako, Bonny Lin, Jude Blanchette, Charles Edel, Christopher B. Johnstone, Nicholas Szechenyi, Lily McElwee, Daniel F. Runde, Craig Cohen, Alex Kisling — January 25, 2024

2024 Global Forecast: A World Dividing

Amid great power competition and conflicts raging around the world, the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—offers insights from dozens of scholars on security, technology, geoeconomics, alliances, and the battle for influence in the Global South.

Digital Report — January 25, 2024

Surveying the Seas: China’s Dual-Use Research Operations in the Indian Ocean

China is deploying dozens of civilian vessels to survey the world’s oceans. While these ships support scientific and commercial objectives, they can also help China’s navy understand the maritime environment as it ventures into less familiar waters like the Indian Ocean.

Digital Report by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, and Aidan Powers-Riggs — January 10, 2024

Deep Blue Scars: Environmental Threats to the South China Sea

A hidden crisis is unfolding in the South China Sea. As claimants maneuver to strengthen their control over disputed waters, the marine environment has suffered untold damage from overfishing, dredging, and giant clam harvesting.

Digital Report by Monica Sato, Harrison Prétat, and Gregory B. Poling — December 18, 2023

Deter and Divide: Russia's Nuclear Rhetoric & Escalation Risks in Ukraine

Russia’s nuclear threats have underpinned each stage of the war in Ukraine as Putin attempts to deter and divide NATO support. However, if Russia faces battlefield setbacks, its nuclear threats could intensify, testing NATO's resolve.

Digital Report by Heather Williams, Kelsey Hartigan, Lachlan MacKenzie, and Reja Younis — December 4, 2023

Submarine Diplomacy

Recent satellite imagery reveals China’s use of submarine diplomacy to advance its interests along the strategically important Bay of Bengal. Beijing’s efforts there could help its navy gain access to facilities to support operations in the region.

Digital Report by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, Aidan Powers-Riggs, and Jennifer Jun — November 17, 2023

Priming the Innovation System

In an age when innovation is the primary engine for accelerating national competitiveness and strength, the United States needs to make significant and sustained investments to raise its game

Digital Report by Sujai Shivakumar — September 29, 2023

Tracking Transatlantic Drug Flows: Cocaine's Path from South America Across the Caribbean to Europe

Transatlantic cocaine trafficking has produced alarming and lasting effects on both sides of the Atlantic. Governments have struggled to respond to this rising public health and security threat. International cooperation is imperative for creating solutions that are both comprehensive and sustainable for all countries involved.

Digital Report by Christopher Hernandez-Roy and Rubi Bledsoe — September 19, 2023