July 26, 2018
| Seth G. JonesIt would be unnecessarily risky for the United States to move too quickly away from countering terrorists while the threat is still high, allowing groups and networks to resurge.
An escalating war has the potential to cause significant economic damage, lead to high numbers of civilian casualties and internally displaced persons, and involve more countries in the region than did the 2006 Lebanon War.
June 12, 2018
| Seth G. Jones, Heather A. ConleyDuring our Schieffer Series Event on Russian Active Measures: Past, Present, and Future, the discussion was focused on the U.S.-Russian information warfare and how we can learn lessons from the past.
April 4, 2018
| Seth G. Jones, Maxwell B. MarkusenAs the Islamic State’s control of territory in Iraq, Syria, and other countries declines, al Qaeda has attempted to resurge and reposition itself at the center of global Salafi-jihadist activity.
The finger pointing about transparency shouldn’t hide the fact that there is already a lot of information to assess the state of the war. The bigger challenge is understanding which indicators are most important to objectively collect, analyze, and—yes—even debate.
So at the minimum, this is the first term of the Trump administration’s first NDS. They can update it by statute as needed, as felt appropriate by the secretary. But I would think that you could probably consider this the blueprint for their defense approach.