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Moldova’s Gas Futures

Without true energy independence from Russia, the threat of Moscow turning off the heat in Chisinau or creating a crisis in Transnistria will remain a geopolitical tool to pressure or destabilize Moldova.

Critical Questions by Daniel F. Runde, Leah Kieff, and Thomas Bryja — September 9, 2024

Moldova’s Ukrainian Bilateral

Moldova, which is less than four hours from the frontlines of the ongoing kinetic combat and shares a border of more than 1,000 miles with Ukraine, is of key importance to the United States and its partners and allies—and not just for geographic reasons.

Critical Questions by Leah Kieff — August 13, 2024

Will U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine Bring Victory?

U.S. deliveries of military equipment may be enough to stabilize the front but will not be enough for victory. Strategically, the war will still be a bloody stalemate, and this constitutes a partial Russian victory. Ukraine needs to articulate how it plans to win.

Critical Questions by Mark F. Cancian — July 30, 2024

Oil Market Interventions and Consequences

A growing share of global oil consists of sanctioned volumes traded by dodgy intermediaries in an opaque shipping sector. Energy sanctions can deny revenue to oil-producing states, but these measures also have some potentially serious, unintended consequences.

Commentary by Ben Cahill and Adi Imsirovic — July 16, 2024

The New Russia-North Korea Security Alliance

The Putin-Kim summit signifies a deepening strategic alignment between Russia and North Korea in their confrontation with the United States and its allies and is the gravest threat to the United States since the Korean War.

Critical Questions by Victor Cha and Ellen Kim — June 20, 2024

Crossing Thresholds: Ukrainian Resistance to Russian Occupation

Russia does not have full control over the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories. It is facing an astute insurrectionist campaign. This continued resistance to occupation will play an important role in undermining the sustainability of the Russian war effort.

Report by Jade McGlynn — June 18, 2024

A Reimagined G7

The G7 must transform from an old boys' club of financiers to a coalition of action-oriented, like-minded partners inspired to sustain the rules-based international order. They must consider serious reforms that enhance the G7’s capabilities, effectiveness, and legitimacy.

Commentary by Victor Cha and John J. Hamre — June 14, 2024