Analysis

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Commentary
Preventing a Crisis with North Korea
December 17, 2020 | Victor Cha For President-elect Biden to reduce the North Korean threat, his administration will need to build off past successes while fundamentally transforming the political relationship with Pyongyang.

Report
The U.S.-Japan Alliance in 2020
December 7, 2020 | Richard L. Armitage, Joseph S. Nye Jr., Victor Cha, Matthew P. Goodman, Michael J. Green Developing a more equal U.S.-Japan alliance is critical to addressing both regional and global challenges. The latest “Armitage-Nye” report identifies issues both allies should prioritize to advance their relationship as well as global security and prosperity.

Interactive
Sinpo South Shipyard Update: Days Before October 10 Celebration
October 5, 2020 | Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., Victor Cha
In Beyond Parallel

With the upcoming Korean Workers’ Party Foundation Day celebration on October 10, a SLBM test should not be ruled out as a possibility for Kim Jong-un’s self-proclaimed “October surprise.” Such a test would be consistent with 


Interactive
North Korean Provocations Likely Around U.S. Presidential Election
September 23, 2020 | Victor Cha
In Beyond Parallel Beyond Parallel looked at whether there are patterns to North Korean behavior around U.S. elections. Is there truth to the narrative often found in the media and expert analysis that the North uses provocations to capture the attention of the United States? 

Interactive
Sinpo South Shipyard: Preparations for a Pukguksong-3 SLBM Test?
September 4, 2020 | Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., Victor Cha
In Beyond Parallel

A satellite image of the Sinpo South Shipyard acquired on September 4, 2020 shows some activity suggestive of preparations for an upcoming test of a Pukguksong-3 submarine launched ballistic missile (SLBM) from the submersible test stand barge based here.

Report
Pyongsan Uranium Concentrate Plant (Nam-chon Chemical Complex)
August 26, 2020 | Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., Victor Cha The Pyongsan Uranium Concentrate Plant is the only verified producer of uranium concentrate (yellowcake) in North Korea. This comprehensive report by the CSIS Korea Chair provides sweeping analyses on the history and current status of the facility.

Newsletter
Asia’s Covid-19 Lessons for The West: Public Goods, Privacy, and Social Tagging
July 16, 2020 | Victor Cha Epidemiologists universally acknowledge that communities in Asia including in Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam have been more successful than the United States and most European countries in “flattening the curve” and limiting the spread of the...

Newsletter
Could a Trump Deal with Kim Jong Un be the October Surprise? John Bolton Seems to Think So
July 14, 2020 | Victor Cha Former national security adviser John Bolton's memoir of his time in the White House, "

Critical Questions
Two Years since Singapore: Did Kim Outplay Trump?
June 11, 2020 | Victor Cha, Sue Mi Terry

Two years after the landmark Singapore summit, CSIS experts Dr. Victor Cha and Dr. Sue Mi Terry assess the accomplishments that have been made, prospects for denuclearization on the Korean peninsula, and where U.S.-North Korea relations might be headed.

Commentary
Options on Hong Kong: A Suggested NSC Memo
June 2, 2020 | Jude Blanchette, Victor Cha, Bonnie S. Glaser, Michael J. Green, Scott Kennedy Beijing’s decision to pass a national security law that could impose restrictions on Hong Kong citizens’ civil liberties presents the United States and the international community with hard choices. CSIS Asia experts outline U.S. policy options in a notional NSC memo.

Newsletter
Burden-Sharing Talks are Distracting Washington and Seoul from the North Korean Threat
June 1, 2020 | Victor Cha The unexplained periodic absences of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un over the past two months are troubling.

Interactive
Pyongsan Uranium Concentrate Plant (Nam-chon Chemical Complex)
May 29, 2020 | Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., Victor Cha
In Beyond Parallel The Pyongsan Uranium Concentrate Plant occupies a critical role in North Korea’s nuclear research and weapons programs as the sole known provider of uranium oxide (yellowcake) for fuel fabrication or enrichment.

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