Analysis

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Commentary
Health Security Downgraded at the White House
June 28, 2018 | J. Stephen Morrison It is not too late for the Trump administration to reverse course. Perhaps the renewed threat of Ebola will refocus its imagination and return a sense of strategic purpose to guaranteeing America’s health security.

Commentary
Evaluating a “Cybersecurity Moonshot”
June 26, 2018 | James Andrew Lewis A cyber moonshot could increase its chances of success if it could identify technologies that would provide wide-ranging improvements for cybersecurity.

Commentary
Erdogan Wins a Fresh Mandate in Turkey’s New Presidential System
June 25, 2018 | Bulent Aliriza The result justified Erdogan’s gamble for early elections fully 17 months before they were due, in order to avoid the negative electoral effects of a worsening economy while catching the opposition unprepared.

Commentary
Is Gas Winning? It Depends
June 25, 2018 | Nikos Tsafos For the past several years, the gas industry has treated this conundrum as a public relations challenge—and it is. But it is, fundamentally, an economic challenge.

Commentary
OPEC: Having Your Cake and Eating It Too-the Sequel
June 25, 2018 | Frank A. Verrastro, Larry Goldstein, Albert Helmig U.S. light tight oil continues to impress, although logistical constraints, especially pipeline bottlenecks in evacuating Permian oil and associated gas, could hamper or at least delay further near-term increases.

Commentary
Looking Beyond the Nuclear Dimension: The Other Side of the North Korean Threat
June 25, 2018 | Anthony H. Cordesman

Limiting or eliminating the potential North Korea nuclear threat to the United States is a key aspect of U.S. strategy. It is important to remember, however, that it is only part of America's vital strategic interests in Asia. The U.S. must also compete with China and seek...


Commentary
On to Autos
June 25, 2018 | William Alan Reinsch Having saved the steel and aluminum industries through tariffs, President Trump has now moved on to a new victim—the domestic automobile industry.

Commentary
Erdogan Seeks New Mandate in Electoral Transition to a Presidential System
June 22, 2018 | Bulent Aliriza

Especially because of the current economic downturn, this election could possibly mark the beginning of a major political transition, which Erdogan will find very difficult to accept.

Commentary
As Mexico Moves to Political Left, American Relationship Put to Test
June 21, 2018 | Richard Miles With a White House with Donald Trump at the helm, the “better than it looks” bilateral relationship may be about to drastically change for the worse.

Commentary
How Low Can Venezuelan Oil Production Go?
June 18, 2018 | Andrew J. Stanley, Frank A. Verrastro

Venezuela’s loss of production volumes was the largest global unplanned fall in crude oil output in 2017, a trend that has continued to intensify into 2018 and has the potential to get significantly worse in the coming months.

Commentary
Beginning of a Tectonic Shift on Trade?
June 18, 2018 | William Alan Reinsch Over the past 10 days I have detected two small shifts in thinking about trade, which do not immediately amount to much but which could well be a sign of more significant change in the future.

Commentary
U.S. Forces in Korea
June 14, 2018 | Kathleen H. Hicks President Trump’s agreement to suspend the upcoming U.S.-ROK combined exercise does not appear to meet the threshold for protecting U.S. lethality, and should not be advanced absent substantial North Korean concessions. 

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