Video On Demand

GSF 2017: Risks and Consequences of a Trade War

November 7, 2017 • 9:30 – 10:45 am EST

Main Agenda - Global Security Forum 2017

Session 3: Risks and Consequences of a Trade War

Since the 2008-09 global financial crisis, G20 economies have repeatedly pledged to maintain market openness, while in fact applying nearly 8000 new trade-restrictive measures. The Trump administration argues that trade agreements treat U.S. firms and workers unfairly, and has embarked on a 1980s-style unilateralist trade policy, including launching Section 232 “national security” investigations of steel and aluminum imports and a Section 301 investigation of China’s Intellectual Property practices. GATT 1994 disciplines would entitle trading partners to suspend concessions in response to independent actions by the U.S. Will this be enough to spark a trade war, and escalation of protectionist measures? What are the consequences for globally-engaged U.S. firms, as well as for allies and partners which have their own complex economic relationships with China and other major economies?

Ms. Wendy Cutler
Vice-President and Managing Director, Asia Society Policy Institute

Mr. Matthew P. Goodman
Senior Adviser and Simon Chair in Political Economy, CSIS

Mr. Christopher K. Johnson
Senior Adviser and Freeman Chair in China Studies, CSIS

Mr. Colin Robertson
Vice President and Fellow, the Canadian Global Affairs Institute

Moderated by:
Mr. Scott Miller
Senior Adviser and Scholl Chair in International Business, CSIS

Scott Miller
Senior Mentor (Non-resident), Executive Education