The First Meeting of the CSIS Working Group on Long-Term Immigration Projections

As fertility rates in the developed world decline, immigration is becoming decisive in determining population and economic growth. Yet most official immigration projections in the United States and abroad remain ad hoc and judgmental. The Social Security Administration has asked the CSIS Global Aging Initiative to develop a methodological framework for projecting international migration flows. As part of the multi-stage project, GAI convened a working group made of prominent demographers, economists, and immigration experts, as well as representatives of the major national and international projection-making agencies.