Logan Wright

Senior Associate (Non-resident), Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics
Logan Wright

Logan Wright is director of China markets research at Rhodium Group, where he focuses on the impact of credit expansion on the Chinese financial system, China’s exchange rate policies, and the influence of the country on global currency and capital markets. He is well known for his views on China’s foreign assets and macroeconomic data. With more than a decade of professional experience analyzing China’s financial system, he monitors official institutions and real-time data closely to gauge implications for the banking system, real economy activity, and future policy directions. Dr. Wright holds a Ph.D. from the George Washington University and a master’s in security studies and bachelor’s in foreign service from Georgetown University. He is based in Washington, D.C., after living and working in Beijing and Hong Kong for over two decades.

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Experts React: China’s Economic Slowdown: Causes and Implications

In response to recent coverage of an impending economic crisis in China, Trustee Chair experts offer their reactions on the structural difficulties in the Chinese economy, solutions to improve the country’s outlook, and the consequences for the United States.

Commentary by Scott Kennedy Logan Wright John L. Holden and Claire Reade — August 30, 2023

Timeline of China's Deleveraging Campaign: 2013–2021

The deleveraging campaign marked the end point of China’s unprecedented credit expansion after the global financial crisis. This timeline describes the four stages of the campaign, which are analyzed in further detail in the report "Grasping Shadows."

Digital Report by Logan Wright — May 31, 2023

China’s Slow-Motion Financial Crisis Is Unfolding as Expected

Logan Wright argues that a slow-motion financial crisis is unfolding in China as its credit bubble unwinds. Beijing’s credibility, built on a track record of intervention in response to financial stress, is waning from rising defaults and a growing sense of risk aversion.

Commentary by Logan Wright — September 21, 2022

The Evergrande Dilemma and Beijing’s Credibility

Evergrande’s woes indicate that Beijing’s priorities have changed and support for large property developers is no longer assured. Lenders, investors, and global markets are now responding to the government’s change in credibility, which could slow China’s economic growth.

Commentary by Logan Wright — October 1, 2021

The China Economic Risk Matrix

In this report, the authors advance a novel, China-specific tool for gauging when short-term financial stress collides with long-building vulnerabilities. It also sets out recommendations for U.S. policymakers on how to understand the risks to China’s economic resilience.

Report by Logan Wright Daniel H. Rosen and Lauren Gloudeman — September 21, 2020

CogitAsia

China’s Credit & Credibility

In this episode, we discuss the current state of China’s financial system. China’s credit sector has expanded dramatically over the course of China’s unparalleled economic rise, yet now faces key problems that may impact overall economic stability.

Podcast Episode by Scott Kennedy Logan Wright and Daniel H. Rosen — October 12, 2018

Podcast CogitAsia