Logan Wright

Senior Associate (Non-resident), Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics
Logan Wright

Logan Wright is director of China markets research at Rhodium Group, where he focuses on the impact of credit expansion on the Chinese financial system, China’s exchange rate policies, and the influence of the country on global currency and capital markets. He is well known for his views on China’s foreign assets and macroeconomic data. With more than a decade of professional experience analyzing China’s financial system, he monitors official institutions and real-time data closely to gauge implications for the banking system, real economy activity, and future policy directions. Dr. Wright holds a Ph.D. from the George Washington University and a master’s in security studies and bachelor’s in foreign service from Georgetown University. He is based in Washington, D.C., after living and working in Beijing and Hong Kong for over two decades.

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China’s Economy: Has THE Crisis Started?

China’s economy is showing multiple signs of weakness. Experts will discuss whether we are witnessing the early days of an emerging full-blown economic crisis, if this is just a deeper than unusual cyclical downturn, or are the worries vastly overblown, with a focus on how international investors and other governments should respond.

Event — February 29, 2024

Experts React: China’s Economic Slowdown: Causes and Implications

In response to recent coverage of an impending economic crisis in China, Trustee Chair experts offer their reactions on the structural difficulties in the Chinese economy, solutions to improve the country’s outlook, and the consequences for the United States.

Commentary by Scott Kennedy, Logan Wright, John L. Holden, and Claire Reade — August 30, 2023

Timeline of China's Deleveraging Campaign: 2013–2021

The deleveraging campaign marked the end point of China’s unprecedented credit expansion after the global financial crisis. This timeline describes the four stages of the campaign, which are analyzed in further detail in the report "Grasping Shadows."

Digital Report by Logan Wright — May 31, 2023

China’s Slow-Motion Financial Crisis Is Unfolding as Expected

Logan Wright argues that a slow-motion financial crisis is unfolding in China as its credit bubble unwinds. Beijing’s credibility, built on a track record of intervention in response to financial stress, is waning from rising defaults and a growing sense of risk aversion.

Commentary by Logan Wright — September 21, 2022

The Evergrande Dilemma and Beijing’s Credibility

Evergrande’s woes indicate that Beijing’s priorities have changed and support for large property developers is no longer assured. Lenders, investors, and global markets are now responding to the government’s change in credibility, which could slow China’s economic growth.

Commentary by Logan Wright — October 1, 2021

The China Economic Risk Matrix

In this report, the authors advance a novel, China-specific tool for gauging when short-term financial stress collides with long-building vulnerabilities. It also sets out recommendations for U.S. policymakers on how to understand the risks to China’s economic resilience.

Report by Logan Wright, Daniel H. Rosen, and Lauren Gloudeman — September 21, 2020