The Trustee Chair analyzes developments in U.S.-China relations, with attention to not only the bilateral relationship, but also how the relationship fits into U.S. ties with likeminded countries as well as its impact on the international order.

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Photo: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images

Photo: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images

U.S.-China Relations in 2024: Managing Competition without Conflict

Scott Kennedy analyzes the factors in U.S.-China relations that are reducing the worst negative tail risks of complete decoupling and outright military conflict. Nevertheless, it will take active diplomacy and some good luck to keep ties from fraying in 2024.

Commentary by Scott Kennedy — January 3, 2024