Patterns in Global Terrorism

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The Uncertain Trends in the “Wars” on Terrorism

The Burke Chair is issuing a new report on global trends in terrorism and the key problems in U.S. official reporting. It presents graphic summary and analysis of the new State Department report, and questions the reported drop in terrorism in 2017.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — September 26, 2018

The New State Department Report on Terrorism: Rethinking the Numbers and Coverage

The U.S. State Department issued its latest annual report on terrorism on August 19, 2018. The report updates its past estimates to cover 2017 and provides a separate Annex of Statistical Information that summarizes the global trends in terrorism.

Commentary by Anthony H. Cordesman — September 20, 2018

The Conflicting Assessments of the Trends in Combat in Afghanistan: 2014-2018

The fighting in Ghazni has highlighted the fact that the U.S. has now entered its seventeenth year of war in Afghanistan and that there is no clear end to the war in sight.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — August 20, 2018

Terrorism: U.S. Strategy and the Trends in Its “Wars” on Terrorism

The trends in terrorism and extremism are only one part of this problem, and part of the lack of any clear grand strategy that can offer the U.S. a credible probability of lasting victory in its wars – if "victory" is defined a stable, friendly postwar state.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — August 8, 2018

The Comparative Threat from Terrorism Compared to Drug Poisoning, Suicide, Traffic Accidents, and Murder: 1999-2016

Terrorism relies on fear and its political effects, not casualty numbers, for its effectiveness. And, the figures mighty be far, far higher if it were not for the massive counterterrorism efforts the U.S. has made inside and outside the United States since "9/11."

Commentary by Anthony H. Cordesman — July 23, 2018

Stability in the Middle East: The Range of Short and Long-Term Causes

This report addresses both the short-term causes of instability and the longer-term trends, and provides updated summary data on each Arab and Middle Eastern state where available.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman and Nicholas Harrington — April 9, 2018

U.S. National Security Strategy and the MENA Region

America's allies, and other states, can scarcely be blamed for being confused by the changes taking place in U.S. strategy.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — March 29, 2018

Losing in Every Direction: The Arab Game of Thrones

Most Arab leaders are still failing their peoples, and simply by the judgment of outside states and experts—many of which are necessarily tactical for economic, political, and military reasons.

Commentary by Anthony H. Cordesman — January 30, 2018

Instability in the MENA Region, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Key Conflict States: A Comparative Score Card

It has long been all too clear that the U.S. has gradually built up the military capability to help local powers defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq without having strategy for dealing with the host of other problems that exist in bringing any kind of lasting stability to the region.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — November 13, 2017

Islam and the Patterns in Terrorism and Violent Extremism

It is far too easy to focus on individual acts of terrorism and extremism, and ignore the global patterns in such violence.

Report by Anthony H. Cordesman — October 17, 2017

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Exploring Guatemala as a Regional Production Hub

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