Capacity and Resolve: Foreign Assessments of U.S. Power

This study looks at foreign assessments of U.S. power over the next ten years, the primary drivers of such views, and the implications of these assessments for sustained U.S. leadership in the coming era

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How the rest of the world sees the continuing capacity and relevance of U.S. leadership is at the heart of this volume. The specific question under investigation is how certain pivotal countries view U.S. power at this moment in time. Debates about U.S. primacy and decline tend to be episodic and somewhat academic in nature. And yet, the decisions our allies and adversaries make depend in part on their assessments of the trajectory of American power. Foreign assessments have real-world implications for U.S. policy. In this volume, CSIS experts analyze the views of U.S. power from 10 different strategically important countries/regions: China, Japan, Korea, Indonesia, India, the Persian Gulf, Israel, Turkey, Germany, and Russia.

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John J. Hamre

Executive Summary


Craig S. Cohen

Part 1 Asia

  1. A Shifting Balance:
    Chinese Assessments of U.S. Power
    Bonnie S. Glaser


  2. Reassuring Presence:
    Japanese Assessments of U.S. Power
    Michael J. Green


  3. Fundamental Realism:
    Korean Assessments of U.S. Power
    Victor D. Cha


  4. Great, But Unfocused:
    Indonesian Assessments of U.S. Power
    Ernest Z. Bower


  5. Continued Primacy, Diminished Will:
    Indian Assessments of U.S. Power
    Teresita C. Schaffer


Part 2 Middle East

  1. Fierce or Feeble:
    Persian Gulf Assessments of U.S. Power
    Jon B. Alterman


  2. Uncertain Commitment:
    Israeli Assessments of U.S. Power
    Haim Malka


Part 3 Eurasia

  1. Misplaced Priorities:
    Turkish Assessments of U.S. Power
    Stephen J. Flanagan


  2. Fading Sentimentality:
    German Assessments of U.S. Power
    Heather A. Conley


  3. Reset Expectations:
    Russian Assessments of U.S. Power
    Andrew C. Kuchins