2013 Conference Presentations

SPRING CONFERENCE

Northrop Grumman, Hill AFB, Utah

Agenda

Panel 1: U.S.-Russia Nuclear Cooperation: Obstacles & Opportunities

• Differing Conceptions of 21st Century Great-Powerness as a Major Obstacle to Deep Reductions in U.S.-Russian Nuclear Arsenals, Jana Honkova
• ‘Super-Allies’ or Cold War Adversaries? Opportunities and Risks in US-Russian Missile Defence Cooperation, Ingmar Zielke
• U.S.-Russia Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons Arms Control: Key Challenges, Sarah Jacobs

Panel 2: The Future of the Triad and U.S. Nuclear Force Structure

• Defining the Costs of the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Complex: Reconstructing the Update to Section 1251 of the National Defense Authorization Act of 2010, Marc Quint
• SSBN(x) Modernization in the Face of Fiscal Austerity, Eric Wey
• National Security Implications of Eliminating Nuclear Weapons, Robert Crockett
• The Development of U.S. Nuclear Force and Infrastructure in the 21st Century: Trends and Implications, Michal Smetana

Deterrence and Nonproliferation, Robert Joseph

Panel 3: Nonproliferation & Deterrence Dynamics In South Asia

• The Utility of Counterforce Targeting in South Asia, Julia Thompson
• Missile Defense and Nuclear Deterrence in Southern Asia, A. Vinod Kumar
• The Silent Outlier: India and the Nonproliferation Regime, Meggaen Neely

Keynote Address, Major General (ret.) C. Donald Alston

Panel 4: Strategic Stability and Arms Control in the Middle East

• Establishing a Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Free Zone in the Middle East: Lessons Learned from the Arms Control and Regional Security (ACRS) Talks, Nilsu Goren
• Advancing Arms Control in the Middle East: An Uphill Battle, but One that Should Be Fought, Sven-Eric Fikenscher
• Missile Defense in the Persian Gulf: Objectives and Feasibility, Ari Kattan
• Gaps in International Trade Data: Highlighting Potential Trade in Proliferation-Related Technologies with Iran, Christopher Nelson

Panel 5: The future of Nuclear Deterrence and Potential Alternatives

• Beyond Mirroring: Effective Nuclear Deterrence as a 2-Level Signaling Game, Drew Masada
• Is There A Place For Nuclear Deterrence in Cyberspace?, Timothy Farnsworth
• Using Criminological Insights to Counter the Nuclear Non-State Adversary, Brandon Behlendorf
• Contribution of Prompt Global Strike to 21st Century Deterrence: Help, Hindrance, or Hype, Clark Cully

SUMMER CONFERENCE

Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM

Agenda

Panel 1: The Global Nonproliferation Regime and its "Hard Cases"

• Tackling Technology-driven Nationalism for Non-Proliferation: Lessons from India, Actions for Iran and North Korea, Jayita Sarkar
• The Mossadegh Effect: Iranian Nationalism and Nuclear Negotiations, Evan Fowler
• The Indian Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) Exception: Implications and Repercussions, Lorenza Bronkhorst
• Building Responsible Nonproliferation Stakeholders: State Decision-making and the Nonproliferation Regime, Jeffrey R. Fields

Panel 2: Nuclear Modernization and Stockpile Stewardship in an Age of Austerity

• An Executable Plan for Stockpile Modernization: Reviewing the U.S. Stockpile Life Extension Plans and the Risk of Fiscal Austerity, Derek Wartman
• Triads, Diads, and Interoperability: A Structured Approach to Tracing the Implications of Diversity on Deterrent Force Reliability, Jarret M. Lafleur
• Brothers in Arms? The UK's Nuclear Warhead Dilemma, Hugh Chalmers

The Challenges and Opportunities for the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Program: From Prague to Berlin, Sheryl Hingorani

Panel 3: Nuclear Dynamics and Strategic Stability in Asia

• Toward a North Korean Declaratory Posture, Scott Thomas Bruce
• Wither the Nuclear Umbrella? U.S. Nuclear Assurances to Japan in a Changing Northeast Asian Security Environment, Gary Sampson
• China's Strategic Posture and the Future of Deterrence, Eve Hunter

Keynote Address, Mr. Frank Rose, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space and Defense Policy, U.S. Department of State

Panel 4: Global Nuclear Security: Preventing Nuclear Terrorism and Restricting Access to Nuclear Material

• A Multistage Framework for Strengthening Global Nuclear Security through the Development of Nuclear Forensics Capabilities and Databases, Erika Suzuki
• Nuclear Medicine without Nuclear Reactors or Uranium Enrichment, Seth Hoedl and Derek Updegraff
• Preventing Nuclear Terrorism from the Inside Out: A Systems View of Security, Marie Arrieta
• Assessing the Nuclear Terrorist Threat: Indexing Illicit Trafficking and Nuclear Terrorism in Sub-Saharan Africa, Kimberly Proctor

Panel 5: Next-Steps for Arms Control and the "Road to Zero"

• Britain's Inadvertant Alternative to Global Zero, Justin Bronk
• Prospects for Future Nuclear Disarmament and Denuclearization Agreements, Zoe Gastelum
• Chain of Custody Assurance: A Path to Verified Warhead Accounting and Deweaponization of Fissile Material under Safeguards, Nic Wondra
• Building on the Recommendations of the National Research Council report The Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty: Technical Issues for the United States: Near-Term Confidence Building Measures for the CTBT, Benjamin J. Rusek
• Meeting the Challenges of Global Nuclear Security: From Prague to Berlin, Rodney Wilson

FALL CONFERENCE

Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, DC

Agenda

Panel 1: The Future of the US Triad

• Are Silo-Based Missiles a Credible 21st-Century Deterrent?, Edward Geist
• Between the Lines: The B61 Life Extension Program, Lauren Wilson (more information available upon request)
• Strategic Ballistic Missile Commonality: Time for an Objective Look, Keith Labbe
• Nuclear Deterrence: Millennials Inheriting the Fight, Kera A. Rolsen

Panel 2: Strategic Stability in South Asia

• India’s Ballistic Missile Defense Program: Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia, Shane Mason
• Indian MIRVs: Plans, Intentions, and Implications, Jonathan McLaughlin
• Pakistan’s Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Challenges for Regional Strategic Stability, Kyle Deming
• Nuclear Deterrence after Kayani: The Effect of Pakistani Civil-Military Relations on South Asian Stability, Dylan Rebstock
• Reducing Nuclear Volatility in South Asia through Multilateral Means, Davis Florick

Panel 3: Civilian Nuclear Technology and Nonproliferation

• Preventing the Next Arms Race: The Potential for Multinational Enrichment Applied to Saudi Arabia, Dustin E. LeClair
• The Feasibility of Uranium-233 as a Proliferation Pathway for Nuclear Aspirant States, Craig J. Wiener
• Floating Nuclear Power Plants: Proliferation on the High Seas?, Jerry Davydov
• Hard Cases for the Next Generation of Nonproliferation, Audrey Williams

Panel 4: Extended Deterrence and Assurance in Europe and Asia

• The Strategic Aspects of Russian Participation in the Transatlantic Security Perimeter, Daria Azarjew
• Central European Perspectives on NATO’s Nuclear Policy, Anna Péczeli
• Safety in Numbers: Problems of a Smaller U.S. Nuclear Arsenal in Asia, Christine Leah
• Protection States Trust?: Major Power Patronage, Nuclear Behavior, and Alliance Dynamics, Alexander Lanoszka

Keynote Address, Gen. Robert Kehler, former Commander, United States Strategic Command

Panel 5: Next-Steps for Arms Control and Verification

• First Steps toward Nuclear Disarmament, Adam Mount
• The Internet of Things: Revolutionizing the Next Generation of Safeguards and Arms Control Verification, Kit Conklin
• 3He in Short Supply? Alternatives to 3He Neutron Detectors in IAEA Monitoring and Verification, David Weisz
• Fast Reactors, Nuclear Disarmament, and Security, Sean Kilduff

Panel 6: Deterrence Dynamics in the 21st Century

• Protect and Defend Strategy, Counterforce Targeting Policy, John Collick
• Towards a Cyber War Taboo? The Emergence of Norms for the Use of Force in Cyberspace, Brian Mazanec (more information available upon request)
• Who’s Afraid of the Bomb? The Role of Norms in Decisions to Confront Nuclear Armed Opponents, Paul Avey
• The Instability of a Post-Nuclear World, David Blagden
• Learning the Right Lessons: Why South Asia Nuclear Dyad – Not the Cold War – Best Explains Two Nuclear Koreas, Timothy Westmyer

Keynote Address, Vice Admiral Terry Benedict, Director, Strategic Systems Program, United States Navy\
 

CAPSTONE CONFERENCE

Offutt AFB, Nebraska

Agenda

Morning Keynote, Admiral Cecil D. Haney, Commander, USSTRATCOM

Panel 1: Deterrence in the 21st Century

• National Security Implications of Eliminating Nuclear Weapons, Robert Crockett
• Modeling Perception: a Means to Build a Credible 21st Century Deterrent, Edward Geist
• The Istability of a Post-Nuclear World, David Blagden

Panel 2: Nonpriliferation and Nuclear Security

• Gaps in International Trade Data: Highlighting Potential Trade in Proliferation-Related Technologies with Iran, Christopher Nelson
• Building Responsible Nonproliferation Stakeholders: State Decision-making and the Nonproliferation Regime, Jeffery R. Fields
• Preventing Nuclear Terrorism from the Inside Out: A Systems View of Security, Marrie Arrieta

Panel 3: Maintaining and Modernizing the Nuclear Complex

• Triads, Diads, and Interoperability: A Structured Approach to Tracing the Implications of Diversity on Deterrent Force Reliability, Jarret M. Lafluer
• Brothers in Arms? The UK's Nuclear Warhead Dilemma, Hugh Chalmers
• Defining the Costs of the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Complex: Climbing the Modernization Mountain, Marc Quint
• Nuclear Deterrence, Millenials Inheriting the Fight, Kera A. Rolson

Lunch Keynote, Dr. John Hamre, President and CEO, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Panel 4: Regional Nuclear Dynamics

• Missile Defense in the Persian Gulf: Objectives and Feasibility, Ari Kattan
• Pakistan's Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Challenges for Regional Strategic Stability, Kyle Deming
• India's Ballistic Missile Defense Program: Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia, Shane Mason
• Wither the Nuclear Umbrella? U.S. Nuclear Assurances to Japan in a Changing Northeast Asian Security Environment, Gary Sampson

Panel 5: Next-Steps for Arms Control and Verification

• U.S.-Russia Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons Arms Control: Key Challenges, Sarah Jacobs Gamberini
• Technical Problems without Political Answer: China and the Future of Nuclear Arms Control, Jiang Kang
• Building on the Recommendations of the National Research Council report The Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty: Technical Issues for the United States: Near-Term Confidence Building Measures for the CTBT, Benjamin J. Rusek
• The Internet of Things: Revolutionizing the Next Generation of Safeguards and Arms Control Verification, Kit Conklin

Evening Keynote, Lieutenant General James M. Kowalski, Deputy Commander, USSTRATCOM