2011 Conference Presentations

SPRING CONFERENCE

NEVADA SUPPORT FACILITY, LAS VEGAS, NV

APRIL 4-6, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1: Future Scenarios for Nuclear Strategists and Policymakers

• The Threat that Leaves Something to Chance in U.S.-China Relations, Vincent Manzo
• Then and Now: Australian perspectives on Extended Nuclear Deterrence, Christine Leah
• Tracking a Nuclear al Qaeda, Kristen Hajduk

Panel 2: Future Nuclear Requirements and Capabilities 

• Qualitative Considerations of Nuclear Forces for Future Arms Control Negotiations, Tom Devine and Rebecca Gibbons 
• Increasing the Scope of Targets: Requirements and a Proposed Solution, Drake Warren
• Are Conventional Weapons a Viable Option for Damage Limitation Operations against
  Medium-sized Nuclear-armed Adversaries? Tong Zhao
   

Panel 3: Verification and Detection Challenges 

• The Challenges of Verifiable Nuclear Warhead Dismantlement, Guy Earle
• Managed Access: Addressing the Technical Problems Associated with Verifying Actual Warhead Reductions, Foy Hubert
• Verification Challenges at Low Numbers, Paul Booker
• The Challenge of Knowledge Transfer among Key Technical Areas and between Generations, Brian Ticknor
   

Panel 4: Expanding the Reach of Nonproliferation and Nuclear Security Efforts 

• Strengthening the IAEA: the Double Track, Sonia Drobysz
• Paths and Limitations to Universalizing the Additional Protocol, Sarah Poe
• Implementation of 2010 Nuclear Security Summit Commitments, Rob Golan-Vilella
   

Panel 5: New Approaches to North Korea and Iran 

• Megatons to Megawatts: A New Energy Policy in North Korea, John K. Yi
• Non-proliferation Policy in the Media-Dominated Political Environment: the Iranian Case, Margarita Zolotova

SUMMER CONFERENCE

CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, WASHINGTON, DC

JULY 7-8, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1: State Calculations on Acquiring Nuclear Weapons

• Red Lines in Coercive Nonproliferation, Daniel Altman
• Military Tradeoffs as a Constraint on Nucler Acuisition, Gene Gerzhoy
• Japan's Nuclear Hedging, Jithin George
• Iran's Nuclear Strategy: Understanding Tehran's Acquisition Pathway, Patrick Disney

Panel 2: U.S.-Russia Engagement on Nuclear Policy

• Contextualizing and Engaging Russian Nuclear Policy, Alejandro Sueldo
• Challenges in U.S.-Russia Nonproliferation and Disarmament Initiatives, Kate Svyatets
• From START to Finish? Houston John Goodell

Panel 3: Strategic Stability 1: Key Issues for U.S. Policymakers

• U.S. Extended Deterrence to South Korea and North Korea's Unusual Belligerence, Sungmin Cho
• Revisiting the Security/Insecurity Paradox in a Sino-American Context: The Challenge of a Bilateral Dialog on Strategic Stability, Jean-Loup Samaan
• Why we Should Study Developing Nuclear Earth Penetrators - And Why They are Actually Stabilizing, Elbridge Colby

Panel 4: Strategic Stability 2: South Asia Dynamics

• Stability in South Asia: The Nuclear-Conventional Intersection, Vipin Narang
• China, India, and Cruise Missiles, Kalyan M. Kemburi

Panel 5: Examining the Legal Instruments of Nonproliferation and Arms Control

• Superpower Collusion and the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Jane Vaynman
• Disarmament Under the NPT: Article VI in the 21st Century, Paul Kiernan
• Negotiating Divorce: Withdrawing from Arms Control Treaties, Thomas Schafbuch

Panel 6: Preventing Proliferation While Meeting Nuclear Energy Demands

• The Next Generation of 123 Agreements, Laura Berzak
• Transnational Networks and Nonproliferation: Strengthening the Multilateral Nuclear Export Control Regime, Michael M. Lieberman
• Countering Proliferation Finance: An Essential but Undervalued Compnent of the Nonproliferation Regime, Javier Serrat

Panel 7: New Tools and Methods for Arms Control and Nonproliferation

• Nuclear Ionization Quenching Measurement in a Duel-Phase Argon Detector, Michael Foxe
• Institutionalizing Commitment Tracking in the Nuclear Security Summit Process, Sarah Williams
• A Proof-of-Concept Game Theoretic Model for Optimal Inspection Strategy Determination, Rebecca Ward

FALL CONFERENCE

LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY, LIVERMORE, CA

SEPTEMBER 7-8, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1: Stockpile Sustainment and the Future of the Nuclear Enterprise

• Stockpile Stewardship and Beyond: Why Science is Important to the U.S. Nuclear Deterrent, Matt Cowan
• Overview of Weapons Enterprise Transformation and Mathematical Assessment Tools, Carol Meyers
• An Overview of Nuclear Detonation Safety, Raymond Wolfgang

Panel 2: Nuclear Forensics Science and Technology

• Multi-actinide resonance ionization mass spectrometry (RIMS) for Nuclear Forensics Applications and Rapid Response, Kim Knight
• Comparison of Model and Experimental Data for Resonance Ionization Mass Spectrometry of Uranium: Predicting and Guiding the RIMS Method, Brett Isselhardt
• Monte Carlo Modeling of a Cavity Ion Source: Pushing the Frontiers of Isotopic Detection Sensitivity, Laurence Lewis

Panel 3: Improving Nuclear Security While Expanding Access to Nuclear Energy

• Refining Multilateral Nuclear Approaches to Achieve Nonproliferation and Fuel Assurance Goals, Peter Hong
• The Thorium Fuel Cycle: A Proliferation-Resistance Focus Shift for the Future, Matthew Duchene
• Developing a ‘Whole of Government’ Approach to Improving the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture, Kimberly Proctor
• Characterization of Uranium Oxyfluoride Particles for Nuclear Safeguards, Ruth Kips

 Panel 4: Enhancing Monitoring and Enforcement to Counter Nuclear Threats

• The Stigmatization of Nuclear Weapons: Implications for the Potential Transfer of Nuclear Material, Patricia Shamai
• The Investigative Authority of the International Atomic Energy Agency to Conduct On-Site Inspections in the Second Nuclear Age, Kalman Robertson
• Engaging Dual-Use Technology Manufacturers through Profit-Oriented Export Controls, Andrew Kurzrok
• Assessing the Effectiveness of Covert Action in Counter-Proliferation: The Case of Iran, David Vielhaber

Panel 5: Assessing Legislative Politics and Ways Forward for Nuclear Policy

• How to Avoid a Dialogue of the Deaf on Nuclear Deterrence Policy, Zachary Zwald
• Next Steps in Arms Control: Restoring Consensus on Nuclear Policy, Tom Karako
• The Duma-Senate Logjam Revisited: Actions and Reactions in Russian Treaty Ratification Debates, Anya Loukianova
• Building Budgetary Transparency and Accountability for the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Program, Stephen Schwartz

Panel 6: Exploring New Dimensions of Nuclear Strategy

• Extended Deterrence and a Nuclear Iran: Lessons from the Cold War, Tim McDonnell
• The Strategic Effect of Indigenous Nuclear Fuel Cycle Capabilities on Regional Security, Tristan Volpe
• French Strategic Posture since the Last Livre Blanc, Emmanuel Nal
• Benefits of ICBMs to U.S. Nuclear Posture and Global Stability, Aaron Van Noy

Panel 7: Looking Ahead to Future Nuclear Force Reductions

• The Question of Nuclear Disarmament and the Enforcement Paradox, Dane Swango
• Verifying Multilateral Nuclear Reductions: Balancing Verification, Transparency and Information Security, Sarah Elizabeth Cross
• HEU Down-blending and Information Barriers: A Thought Experiment in South Asia, Jessica Bufford
• Analysis of Nuclear Explosion Debris and Considerations for Verification, Christopher Ryan