Deterrence

Deterrence was the linchpin of U.S. strategy for decades, but the context for deterrence has changed markedly. Instead of a single, near-peer opponent, the U.S. faces an array of possible attackers with differing capabilities and tolerances for risk.

Reports/Essays

• March 2020 – “Strategy after Deterrence”
• October 2018 – “Defining Rules of Behavior for Force and Coercion in Cyberspace, in “Confronting an ‘Axis of Cyber’? China, Iran, North Korea, Russia in Cyberspace”
• May 2016 - "Rethinking Deterrence"
• Forthcoming - “Deterrence in a Cyber Age”
• July 2015 - “ U.S. Efforts to Deter Hostile Iranian Cyber Actions”
• June 2015 - “Geopolitics and Deterrence”
• April 2015 - “Does Cyber Deterrence Make Sense?”
• January 2015 - “North Korea and Sony: Why So Much Doubt and What About Deterrence?”
• December 2014 - “Disruptive Technologies and the Future of Deterrence”
• November 2014 - “Deterrence in the Cyber Age”
• October 2013 - “Reconsidering Deterrence in Cyberspace”
• August 2013 - “Reconsidering Deterrence for Space and Cyberspace” (Chapter begins on p. 61)
• July 2010 - “Cross-Domain Deterrence and Credible Threats”

Events/Background Papers

• September 2015 - Table-top Exercise: “Overview”, “10 Questions for Cyber Deterrence”, “Cyber Game Briefing Book”
• September 2015 - Table-top Exercise Dry Run
• June 2015 - Brzezinski Institute: “Geopolitics and Deterrence”
• April 2015 - Deterrence Roundtable: “Conclusions”
• September 2014 - Deterrence Roundtable: “Deterrence Roundtable Background”
• August 2014 - Strategic Command: “Rethinking Deterrence”
• February 2014 - Deterrence Roundtable: “Rethinking Deterrence”

Background Documents

• Deterrence Bibliography (Forthcoming)
• Terminological Use by Year (Graphs)
• U.S. Cyber Deterrence Declaratory Policies