Transnational Threats Project

The Transnational Threats (TNT) Project focuses on the threat and evolution of terrorist networks and the irregular activities of countries like Russia, Iran, and China

Led by Dr. Seth G. Jones, director and Harold Brown Chair, TNT examines the activities of organizations like the Islamic State, al Qaeda, Lebanese Hezbollah, Shia militias, and far-right and far-left extremist networks—including counterterrorism efforts. TNT also analyzes Russian, Iranian, and Chinese irregular warfare activities, such as covert action, economic warfare, support to non-state partners, cyber operations, disinformation, political warfare, and espionage.

TNT conducts extensive fieldwork overseas, compiles and analyzes data sets, and utilizes satellite imagery and other types of qualitative and quantitative analysis. TNT also draws from an extensive network of policy experts from the U.S. and partner governments, Congress, academia, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), and the private sector. In partnership with CSIS’s Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab, TNT translates its research into high-quality videos, podcasts, reports, visualizations, and other products designed to engage audiences and inform policy discussions through objective analysis. TNT’s work is highly valued by government officials, corporate executives, and other influential leaders seeking to understand, prevent, and counter transnational threats.

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Latest Analysis

Photo: Paula Bronstein /Getty Images

Photo: Paula Bronstein /Getty Images

The End of the Beginning in Ukraine

Despite Ukraine’s retaking of Kherson, there are growing calls for Ukraine to end the war through peace talks with Russia. But the conditions are not yet ripe for peace. The United States should continue to aid Ukraine by providing more arms and economic support.

Commentary by Seth G. Jones and Philip G. Wasielewski — November 17, 2022

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A Conversation with Ambassador Ali Siddiqui

Please join us on November 20th for an armchair discussion with Ambassador Siddiqui to discuss the potential of an expanded U.S.-Pakistan relationship.

Event by Daniel F. Runde , Seth G. Jones , and Ali Siddiqui — November 20, 2019

Iran’s Protests and the Threat to Domestic Stability

As protests spread throughout Middle Eastern countries like Iraq and Lebanon, Iran also faces widespread protests from individuals upset about deteriorating economic conditions, poor governance, corruption, and environmental issues.

Brief by Seth G. Jones and Danika Newlee — November 8, 2019

Photo: STR/AFP/Getty Images
The Truth of the Matter

The Islamic State's Next Wave

Seth Jones discusses the U.S. raid on Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Podcast Episode by Bob Schieffer , H. Andrew Schwartz , and Seth G. Jones — November 5, 2019

CSIS the truth of the matter

Beyond Baghdadi: The Next Wave of Jihadist Violence

CSIS’s Seth Jones explains the death of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi—and the appointment of his replacement, Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi—is unlikely to have a long-term impact on an increasingly decentralized jihadist movement.

Brief by Seth G. Jones — November 4, 2019

Photo: AFP/Getty Images
The Truth of the Matter

The Attack on Saudi Arabia

Hosts Bob Schieffer & Andrew Schwartz interview CSIS Harold Brown Chair & director of the Transnational Threats Project Seth Jones about the recent attack on Saudi Arabia's oil production facilities.

Podcast Episode by Bob Schieffer , H. Andrew Schwartz , and Seth G. Jones — September 17, 2019

CSIS the truth of the matter

Book Launch: Truth to Power

The CSIS Transnational Threats Project cordially invites you to a book launch event for Robert Hutchings and Gregory Treverton's newly released Truth to Power: A History of the U.S. National Intelligence Council (Oxford University Press).

Event by Seth G. Jones , Amb. Robert Hutchings , and Gregory F. Treverton — July 16, 2019

Dangerous Liaisons: Russian Cooperation with Iran in Syria

The CSIS Transnational Threats Project’s analysis of satellite imagery of T-4 Airbase in Syria indicates that preventing further Iranian expansion in the Middle East will be difficult without increasing pressure on Moscow.

Brief by Seth G. Jones , Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. , and Nicholas Harrington — July 16, 2019

Photo: SERGEI CHIRIKOV/AFP/Getty Images