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Space Threat Assessment 2025

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Report by Clayton Swope, Kari A. Bingen, Makena Young, and Kendra LaFave — April 25, 2025

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Seth G. Jones

Seth G. Jones

President, Defense and Security Department; Harold Brown Chair
Emily Harding

Emily Harding

Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
Daniel Byman

Daniel Byman

Director, Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program
Tom Karako

Tom Karako

Director, Missile Defense Project and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Cynthia Cook

Cynthia Cook

Director, Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Kari Bingen

Kari A. Bingen

Director, Aerospace Security Project and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Clayton Swope

Clayton Swope

Deputy Director, Aerospace Security Project and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Bonny Lin

Bonny Lin

Director, China Power Project and Senior Adviser
Kathleen Mcinnis

Kathleen McInnis

Director, Smart Women, Smart Power Initiative and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Max Bergmann

Max Bergmann

Director, Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program and Stuart Center
Matt Pearl

Matt Pearl

Director, Strategic Technologies Program
Benjamin Jensen

Benjamin Jensen

Director, Futures Lab, and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Yasir Atalan

Yasir Atalan

Data Fellow, Futures Lab, Defense and Security Department
Brian Hart

Brian Hart

Deputy Director and Fellow, China Power Project
Andy Lim

Andy Lim

Deputy Director and Fellow, Korea Chair
Joseph Rodgers

Joseph Rodgers

Deputy Director and Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues

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The Truth of the Matter

Drones and AI on the Ukrainian Battlefield

Kateryna Bondar, fellow in the CSIS Wadhwani AI Center, joins the podcast to discuss how Ukraine is using AI-driven unmanned systems to reduce direct warfighter involvement while enhancing combat effectiveness.

Podcast Episode by H. Andrew Schwartz and Kateryna Bondar — April 2, 2025

CSIS the truth of the matter

How to Secure the Black Sea During a Russia-Ukrainian Ceasefire

Securing a fragile Black Sea ceasefire demands more than diplomacy. NATO must field a multidomain fleet-in-being—one that deters Russia, respects Montreux limits, and projects power without draining overstretched naval forces elsewhere.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen and Mark Montgomery — March 31, 2025

Global Terrorism Threat Assessment 2025

Terrorism remains a threat to U.S. citizens, assets, and interests despite the national security community’s decreasing focus on counterterrorism.

Report by Alexander Palmer, Riley McCabe, Daniel Byman, and Skyeler Jackson — March 28, 2025

What Happened at the Trump Administration’s Annual Threat Assessment Hearing?

At the worldwide threats hearings, the Trump administration’s top intelligence officials named illicit drug actors, China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as top threats to the United States. But questions about the Signal chat largely overshadowed the hearings.

Commentary by Emily Harding and Julia Dickson — March 27, 2025