Intelligence

CSIS experts draw on their IC service to explain and interpret developments in the intelligence community.

What’s Normal—and What’s Not—About ODNI’s Request to Revise the NIC's Intelligence Assessment

Recently leaked emails suggest that senior staff at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) worked to change an intelligence assessment with implications for President Trump’s immigration policy. But the truth of the matter has yet to fully emerge.

Critical Questions by Emily Harding — May 23, 2025

Investing in Ukraine: Folly or Wisdom?

Commentary by Emily Harding — May 2, 2025

What Happened at the Trump Administration’s Annual Threat Assessment Hearing?

Commentary by Emily Harding and Julia Dickson — March 27, 2025

The First Step for Making Government More Efficient: Fix Cyber Budgets

Commentary by Julia Dickson and Emily Harding — February 13, 2025

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One Million Casualties: Russia’s Losses on the Battlefield

June 13, 2025 • 11:00 – 11:30 am EDT

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Can Ukraine Survive Without U.S. Aid?

June 5, 2025 • 11:15 am – 11:45 pm EDT

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Ukraine in the Balance: A Battlefield Update on the War in Ukraine

February 22, 2024 • 1:00 – 2:00 pm EST

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Fireside Chat with Andrew Shearer

December 4, 2023 • 11:00 – 11:45 am EST

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Fireside Chat with LTG Berrier

November 1, 2023 • 1:30 – 2:30 pm EDT

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Managing Geopolitical Risk in Mexico's ICT Sector

October 10, 2023 • 12:00 – 1:00 pm EDT

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China's Strategy of Political Warfare: Views from Congress

September 28, 2023 • 8:45 – 9:30 am EDT

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Army OSINT: Defining a New Course

September 12, 2023 • 10:00 – 11:00 am EDT

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Relative Superiority in the Drone Age: McRaven’s Playbook Meets Ukraine’s Airfield Assaults

Operation Spider Web demonstrates how precision drone raids and special operations are redefining the calculus of airbase defense. In this new commentary, Dr. Jensen analyzes the evolving role of relative superiority in drone warfare and suggests new frameworks for modern airbase security.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 2, 2025

What’s Normal—and What’s Not—About ODNI’s Request to Revise the NIC's Intelligence Assessment

Critical Questions by Emily Harding — May 23, 2025

Audio Briefs

“Improving Cooperation with Allies and Partners in Asia”: Audio Brief with Dan Byman

A short, spoken-word summary from CSIS’s Dan Byman on his brief, “Improving Cooperation with Allies and Partners in Asia.”

Podcast Episode by Daniel Byman — May 20, 2025

Improving Cooperation with Allies and Partners in Asia

Despite the shared threat from China, U.S. cooperation with actual and potential allies in Asia is uneven and fitful.

Brief by Daniel Byman — May 20, 2025

Can Ukraine Fight Without U.S. Aid? Seven Questions to Ask

A complete cutoff of U.S. aid would significantly harm Ukraine’s ability to fight Russia but would not necessarily lead to immediate defeat—and more limited cutoffs would have more limited effects on Ukraine’s battlefield performance.

Report by Iselin Brady, Daniel Byman, Riley McCabe, and Alexander Palmer — May 19, 2025

At the Doorstep: A Snapshot of New Activity at Cuban Spy Sites

New satellite imagery offers an updated look at two Cuban signals intelligence sites, including construction of a new circularly disposed antenna array. The two sites are among those most likely to be supporting Chinese intelligence-gathering operations from Cuba.

Digital Report by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, Aidan Powers-Riggs, and Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. — May 6, 2025

Operational Fires in the Age of Punishment

Russia’s decoupling of firepower from maneuver in Ukraine signals a dangerous shift toward punitive, algorithmic warfare—forcing NATO to rethink doctrine, deterrence, and the role of human-machine integration in future conflicts.

Report by Benjamin Jensen and Jose M. Macias III — May 6, 2025

Lessons from the Ukraine Conflict: Modern Warfare in the Age of Autonomy, Information, and Resilience

As warfare evolves, the Ukraine conflict offers policymakers a blueprint for modern defense strategy—emphasizing autonomy, contested logistics, electromagnetic superiority, and adaptive organizational models.

Report by Matthew Slusher — May 2, 2025

Conflict in Focus: Lessons from Russia-Ukraine

The Russia-Ukraine War has redefined modern conflict, from drones and cyberattacks to contested space. Conflict in Focus, a CSIS series, unpacks key lessons across all domains of war—insights vital for anticipating and preparing for future large-scale conflicts.

Report by Matthew Slusher, Krista Auchenbach, Scott Murphy, Quinton Packard, Scott Pence, and Luke Slivinski — May 2, 2025

Fewer Soldiers, More Drones: What Ukraine’s Military Will Look Like After the War

What if the future of military defense looks less like soldiers and more like swarms? In this article, Dr. Jensen analyzes how Ukraine’s post-war army may redefine warfare with drones, digital talent, and missile deterrence—out of necessity, not choice.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — April 28, 2025

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