CSIS’s Strategic Technologies ProgramRenewing American Innovation, and the Wadhwani AI Center lead the research on how rapid technological change affects all aspects of society, from national security to daily life.

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Photo: Bettmann / Contributor via Getty Images

Photo: Bettmann / Contributor via Getty Images

From Iran to China: Using Social Data to Detect Authoritarian Decline

From Tehran to Beijing, subtle shifts in language reveal cracks in authoritarian control. A new paradigm to detect decline via natural language processing tools has allowed us to track the whispers of discontent.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 20, 2025

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Jen Berlin
Vice President, Economic Security and Technology Department
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Matt Pearl
Director, Strategic Technologies Program
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Kari Bingen
Director, Aerospace Security Project and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
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Emily Harding
Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
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Scott Kennedy
Senior Adviser and Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics
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Caitlin Welsh
Director, Global Food and Water Security Program
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Clayton Swope
Deputy Director, Aerospace Security Project and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
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Joseph Rodgers
Deputy Director and Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues
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Romina Bandura
Senior Fellow, Project on Prosperity and Development, Project on U.S. Leadership in Development
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Sunha Bae
Visiting Fellow, Strategic Technologies Program