Intelligence

CSIS experts draw on their IC service to explain and interpret developments in the intelligence community.

What’s Normal—and What’s Not—About ODNI’s Request to Revise the NIC's Intelligence Assessment

Recently leaked emails suggest that senior staff at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) worked to change an intelligence assessment with implications for President Trump’s immigration policy. But the truth of the matter has yet to fully emerge.

Critical Questions by Emily Harding — May 23, 2025

Investing in Ukraine: Folly or Wisdom?

Commentary by Emily Harding — May 2, 2025

What Happened at the Trump Administration’s Annual Threat Assessment Hearing?

Commentary by Emily Harding and Julia Dickson — March 27, 2025

The First Step for Making Government More Efficient: Fix Cyber Budgets

Commentary by Julia Dickson and Emily Harding — February 13, 2025

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Past Events

One Million Casualties: Russia’s Losses on the Battlefield

June 13, 2025 • 11:00 – 11:30 am EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program

Can Ukraine Survive Without U.S. Aid?

June 5, 2025 • 11:15 am – 11:45 pm EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program

Ukraine in the Balance: A Battlefield Update on the War in Ukraine

February 22, 2024 • 1:00 – 2:00 pm EST

Video On Demand

Hosted by International Security Program

Fireside Chat with Andrew Shearer

December 4, 2023 • 11:00 – 11:45 am EST

Video On Demand

Hosted by Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program

Fireside Chat with LTG Berrier

November 1, 2023 • 1:30 – 2:30 pm EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by International Security Program

Managing Geopolitical Risk in Mexico's ICT Sector

October 10, 2023 • 12:00 – 1:00 pm EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by Americas Program

China's Strategy of Political Warfare: Views from Congress

September 28, 2023 • 8:45 – 9:30 am EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by International Security Program

Army OSINT: Defining a New Course

September 12, 2023 • 10:00 – 11:00 am EDT

Video On Demand

Hosted by International Security Program

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Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program

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The Truth of the Matter

How Might Iran Conflict End?

CSIS’s Norm Roule, a former senior U.S. intelligence officer for the Middle East joins the podcast to discuss how conflict with Iran might end, what regime change could look like, the wider implications for the United States and the region and more.

Podcast Episode by H. Andrew Schwartz and Norman T. Roule — June 20, 2025

From Iran to China: Using Social Data to Detect Authoritarian Decline

From Tehran to Beijing, subtle shifts in language reveal cracks in authoritarian control. A new paradigm to detect decline via natural language processing tools has allowed us to track the whispers of discontent.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 20, 2025

Minnesota Attack Is the Latest in a Rising Wave of Political Violence

The assassination of a Minnesota lawmaker marks a grim milestone in a growing wave of politically motivated attacks on government officials in the United States, according to CSIS data.

Commentary by Riley McCabe — June 17, 2025

Aid Cuts Make Peace Negotiations in Ukraine Less Likely

Cutting U.S. aid to Ukraine now would not hasten peace. It would encourage the Kremlin to believe what it has long hoped for—that U.S. resolve is fleeting, and that time is on Russia’s side.

Commentary by Riley McCabe — June 16, 2025

One Million Casualties: Russia’s Losses on the Battlefield

CSIS experts Dr. Seth Jones and Riley McCabe break down the data on Russia's poor battlefield performance in Ukraine.

Event — June 13, 2025

Ungentlemanly Robots: Israel’s Operation Rising Lion and the New Way of War

Iran was overwhelmed by Israel's 'Rising Lion' strike—a fusion of drone swarms, stealth jets & covert ops which has rewritten modern warfare as we know it.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 13, 2025

Is China’s New London “Super Embassy” a Risk to National Security?

China is moving forward with plans to build a new “super embassy” in central London, which is located directly above sensitive communication and fiber-optic cables. This raises serious national security concerns for the United Kingdom and its allies.

Critical Questions by Aosheng Pusztaszeri — June 13, 2025

Fighting for Information: A Theory of Tactics for the Next Army

The future battlefield won’t be won by brute force, but through the control of information in air littorals using AI, drones, and deception. The next war starts with seeing first—or not at all.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 11, 2025

Reimagining Paul Revere: Building Drone Brigades in the U.S. Army Reserve

Victory in future wars may hinge on the modern Paul Revere—unmanned brigades of drones operated by Reserve citizen soldiers, capable of missions ranging from intelligence collection to resupply.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — June 10, 2025

Can Ukraine Survive Without U.S. Aid?

Experts from CSIS’s Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program sat down for a discussion on the possible implications of a partial or complete suspension of U.S. military aid to Ukraine.

Event — June 5, 2025

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