Sub-Saharan Africa

CSIS’s Africa Program, Global Health Policy Center, the Human Rights Initiative, the Prosperity and Development Project, and the Global Food Security Program provide analysis on political, economic, and security dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa, highlighting important new trends and rising stakes for U.S. engagement.

Photo: DENIS SASSOU GUEIPEUR/AFP/Getty Images

Photo: DENIS SASSOU GUEIPEUR/AFP/Getty Images

Chad: The Sahel’s Last Domino to Fall

Major cracks in Mahamat Déby's rule in Chad are emerging, which could ultimately spell Déby’s demise and usher in a new period of transition and violent instability for the country and the wider region.

Commentary by Cameron Hudson — December 6, 2023

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Daniel F. Runde

Daniel F. Runde

Senior Vice President; William A. Schreyer Chair; Director, Project on Prosperity and Development

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Chad: The Sahel’s Last Domino to Fall

Major cracks in Mahamat Déby's rule in Chad are emerging, which could ultimately spell Déby’s demise and usher in a new period of transition and violent instability for the country and the wider region.

Commentary by Cameron Hudson — December 6, 2023

Seven Months of Conflict in Sudan

More than one million people have fled Sudan to neighboring countries while more than seven million Sudanese have been internally displaced since April.

Event — November 30, 2023

Seller's Remorse: The Challenges Facing Russia's Arms Exports

While Russian arms sales in areas such as missile and air defense systems, aircraft, armored vehicles, naval systems, and engines have historically been significant, recent trends show that exports in virtually all of these major weapons categories will decline.

Report by Max Bergmann Maria Snegovaya Tina Dolbaia and Nick Fenton — September 18, 2023

Russia Is Still Progressing in Africa. What's the Limit?

This paper examines Russia’s creeping influence over Africa, assessing Moscow’s historic legacy as well as the current diplomatic, economic, and military-security links that contribute to the region’s continued willingness to engage with Russia. 

Report by Mathieu Droin and Tina Dolbaia — August 15, 2023

Base Expansion in Mali Indicates Growing Wagner Group Investment

Contrary to rumors that the Wagner Group is weakening, CSIS analyzes recent satellite imagery showing that Wagner is expanding its base capacity in Bamako and may intend to soon transfer additional valuable military equipment to Mali.

Commentary by Catrina Doxsee Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. and Jennifer Jun — August 15, 2023

Evaluating Mozambique’s Security, Humanitarian, and Funding Landscape

The United States and international community needs to reevaluate funding and response models to mitigate Mozambique’s devolving security landscape, weakened humanitarian coordination, and low levels of trust between actors.

Commentary by Nicolas Jude Larnerd and Emilia Columbo — August 8, 2023

Beyond AGOA: Building a Bigger Africa Policy

The United States should completely rethink some of the core tenants of U.S.-Africa policy and eliminate any contradictions and inconsistencies in its relations with African governments.

Commentary by Eliot Pence — July 18, 2023