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Taiwan

Photo: agratitudesign/Adobe Stock

Photo: agratitudesign/Adobe Stock

Signals in the Swarm: The Data Behind China’s Maritime Gray Zone Campaign Near Taiwan

This brief presents a new data-driven framework for identifying Chinese maritime gray zone activity near Taiwan, using AIS tracking, fishing effort data, and military drill zones to flag civilian vessels likely engaged in state-directed operations.

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Brief by Jose M. Macias III and Benjamin Jensen — October 8, 2025

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Strengthening Resilience in Taiwan

Taiwan has taken important steps to strengthen resilience over the last several years. However, the threat it faces is significant, and it falls short in many important dimensions of resilience.

Report by Daniel Byman, Seth G. Jones, and Jude Blanchette — December 11, 2024

Crossroads of Commerce: How the Taiwan Strait Propels the Global Economy

This report provides an unprecedented look at the Taiwan Strait’s role in global trade, revealing that over one-fifth of all maritime commerce passes through this vital waterway. China possesses a range of non-kinetic options it may employ to coerce Taiwan, which could significantly disrupt this trade.
 

Digital Report by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, David Peng, Bonny Lin, and Jasper Verschuur — October 10, 2024

Building International Support for Taiwan

To build more global support for Taiwan, the CSIS Freeman Chair convened an international expert task force to understand what strategic narratives on Taiwan resonate most across a wide range of capitals and the tolerance for risk these partners are willing to bear.

Brief by Jude Blanchette, Ryan Hass, and Lily McElwee — February 13, 2024

Surveying the Experts: U.S. and Taiwan Views on China's Approach to Taiwan

Amid mounting tensions in the Taiwan Strait, there are critical questions about how China might coerce Taiwan or force unification. The China Power Project surveyed leading U.S. and Taiwan experts and former officials to better understand China’s approach to Taiwan.

Report by Bonny Lin, Brian Hart, Chen Ming-Chi, Shen Ming-Shih, Samantha Lu, Truly Tinsley, and Yu-Jie (Grace) Liao — January 22, 2024

Taiwan’s 2024 Elections: Results and Implications

On January 13, 2024, Taiwan held elections for the presidency and its 113-seat legislature. CSIS experts answer key questions about the election results and the implications for cross-strait relations and U.S.-Taiwan ties.  

Critical Questions by Brian Hart, Scott Kennedy, Jude Blanchette, and Bonny Lin — January 19, 2024

Previewing Taiwan’s 2024 Presidential Election

The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) hosted a press briefing on Friday, January 5, at 10:00 a.m. EST, previewing the Taiwanese presidential election, scheduled to be held on January 13.

Transcript — January 5, 2024

Scared Strait: Understanding the Economic and Financial Impacts of a Taiwan Crisis

In the past year, the CSIS Freeman Chair in China Studies—with support from the CSIS Japan Chair and CSIS Economics Program—organized a series of scenario workshops to better understand how investors and companies will react to geopolitical shocks in the Taiwan Strait.

Commentary by Jude Blanchette, Gerard DiPippo, and Christopher B. Johnstone — December 13, 2023

Previewing Taiwan's 2024 Presidential Election

The Freeman Chair in China Studies and the China Power Project hosted a virtual roundtable discussion on Taiwan's upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections on January 13, 2024.

Transcript — December 5, 2023