New Report from CSIS Analyzes Global Impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

WASHINGTON, DC – September 26, 2024 – The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) today released a major new report, The Global Impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, which provides an in-depth analysis of the presidential election’s potential effects on the future of U.S. foreign policy.

The report, which serves as the inaugural publication from the newly formed CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, features insights from 21 leading CSIS experts examining how regional leaders are preparing for shifts in U.S. global leadership, regardless of the election’s outcome. The analysis covers key security, economic, and geopolitical challenges, including the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, the rise of authoritarian coalitions, political and economic drivers in Africa and Latin America, and China’s growing assertiveness. The report offers a broad global perspective and detailed assessments of the potential changes in U.S. relations across Europe, Eurasia, the Indo-Pacific, the Americas, Africa, and the Middle East, as well as policy recommendations for the next U.S. administration.

“While there are many differences to be found in a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump presidency, our scholars also found few in their regions and countries preparing for continuity overall in relations with the United States after this election—they are preparing for change, with only the pace or intensity being determined by who occupies the White House in January 2025,” said Dr. Victor Cha, president of the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department. “This report of the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department provides concise analysis, predictions, and recommendations for the way forward.” 

The CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department brings together the institution’s leading regional experts and research programs to offer cross-cutting analysis of the most challenging issues that will define U.S. global leadership in the decades ahead. The confluence of war, pandemics, great power competition, and the weaponization of politics and trade have created fundamental discontinuities in our notions of global order. Finding the balance between preserving elements of the existing order, adopting new rules and norms, and deterring military conflict sits at the heart of the mission of the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department. The department’s research programs will offer high-quality, nonpartisan analysis on domestic politics, political economy, and foreign policy across all countries and regions of the globe.

Dr. Cha will serve as the president of the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department. He most recently served as CSIS senior vice president for Asia and CSIS Korea Chair. He is also professor of government at Georgetown University and previously served on the National Security Council with responsibility for Japan, Korea, Australia/New Zealand, and Pacific Island nations.

The formation of the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department is part of a broader strategic realignment of CSIS programming to better prepare the institution to meet global challenges in the coming years. With a focus on geopolitics, economic security, technology, defense, and U.S. global engagement, CSIS will integrate cross-disciplinary research on both short- and long-term issues that will determine American prosperity and security in the decades ahead.

Visit here to learn more about the CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department. Explore The Global Impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by visiting here.

For media inquiries, please contact H. Andrew Schwartz (ASchwartz@csis.org) or Sam Cestari (SCestari@csis.org).

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