The Economic Security Spotlight

Photo: iLab/CSIS
Introducing the Economic Security Spotlight
Welcome to the Economic Security Spotlight, a bi-weekly newsletter from the newly established CSIS Economic Security and Technology (EST) Department. We launched this department with the recognition that, today, national security is determined as much by commercial and technology competition as it is by traditional defense. There is urgent need for the United States and its partners to develop economic security policies and strategies that integrate economic, technological, and national security considerations.
Our vision is that the United States and its partners will grow and sustain the economic and technological advantages essential to our prosperity, security, and resilience for the next generation and beyond. To that end, we are focused on shaping and impacting modern economic security policy with diverse bipartisan perspectives; innovative data and analytics; unparalleled convening capabilities; and thought partnerships with the private sector. We have a world class team of over 50 resident staff and 100 affiliates with unique breadth and depth of expertise spanning economic and innovation policy, advanced technologies, energy security and climate transition, and global and emerging markets. Twice a month, this newsletter gives you a window into what our scholars and teams are seeing and doing on all things economic security and technology.
We are on the cusp of multiple political transitions at home and abroad – each with far-reaching implications for policy. Here in the United States, we are assessing the legacy of the Biden Administration in a number of areas – from export controls to export credit finance, from research and development to industrial strategy, and from commercial relations with partners to geoeconomic and technology rivalry with the PRC.
We are also assessing which aspects of the U.S. economic security toolkit will remain and what will change as a new administration takes office. What are the implications of anticipated Trump administration tariff policies for technology competition? Will the incoming administration continue the use of export controls, especially with respect to AI? What role will sanctions and investment screening play in Trump 2.0? And how will competitors, principally China, as well as partners and allies respond? What does all this mean for our long-term growth prospects, the security of our markets and assets, and our resilience to potential shocks, including climate change?
These are the questions we are continually asking ourselves, political leaders, private industry, and investors at home and abroad. We invite you into those conversations and welcome your active engagement. Everyone has a part to play in our economic security in this era of global technology competition.
- Navin Girishankar, President, Economic Security and Technology Department
Staying Ahead in the Global Technology Race: A Roadmap for Economic Security

Late last year, we published our first report as a department: Staying Ahead in the Global Technology Race: A Roadmap for Economic Security. The report consists of 13 essays from senior scholars across our department, reflecting on the generational shift in U.S. economic policy and recommending that the next administration prioritize the development of an allied economic security strategy—one that provides a clear path forward on export controls, global technology governance, domestic incentives for building technology capabilities, as well as a refresh on U.S. and allied technology cooperation.
Our expectation is that Staying Ahead is just the first example of what is to come from our department—integrative work that connects the dots across economic policy, technology competition, and national security. As always, we welcome your feedback.
Back & Forth: Intel and the Semiconductor Industry

We are pleased to release the second edition of Back & Forth, a new series from EST that features two essays offering differing perspectives on a critical topic in economic security and technology policy.
Our goal in launching Back & Forth is to promote debate about ideas that do not get adequate attention in Washington policy circles. As a bipartisan community of scholars, our expectation is that Back & Forth will model the art of thoughtful disagreement about unexplored solutions to our biggest challenges on economic security and technology. That, in our opinion, is the crying need of democratic governance in polarized times.
In this edition, Sujai Shivakumar, Director of the Renewing American Innovation program and Senior Fellow at CSIS, Charles Wessner, Senior Adviser (Non-resident) at CSIS, and Christina Alfonso, President at the Council on Global Competition and Innovation, offer their views on Intel's potential role as a "national champion" in the U.S. semiconductor industry.
Events

Leadership Conversation with Under Secretary Geraldine Richmond
Last week, we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Geraldine Richmond, Under Secretary for Science and Innovation at the Department of Energy (DOE), for a fascinating conversation highlighting her tenure at DOE over the last three years. In that time, Dr. Richmond has overseen DOE's Office of Science, the nation’s largest federal sponsor of basic research in the physical sciences, along with DOE’s applied R&D areas of nuclear, fossil, and renewable energy.
The discussion covers the Office of Science’s focus on critical technologies and applied sciences, Energy Earthshots, public-private partnerships such as NatCast, and interagency collaborations. Give it a listen, and let us know what you think!
Reflecting on the Commerce Department’s Role in Protecting Critical Technology
On Tuesday, we hosted Alan Estevez, Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security, to unpack the recent export control updates and reflect on the Biden administration’s AI and semiconductor export control strategy, as well as other developments from BIS from the past four years.
Securing America’s Economic Future: A Conversation with EXIM Chair Reta Jo Lewis
Earlier this week, we hosted Chair Reta Jo Lewis of the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) to discuss EXIM’s newly introduced Supply Chain Resiliency Initiative (SCRI), and its role as a transformative financing tool for U.S. economic security.
Analysis
Securing the AGI Laurel: Export Controls, the Compute Gap, and China’s Counterstrategy
Barath Harithas argues that the real stakes behind export controls are not semiconductors themselves, but AI, and that the U.S.-China compute gap should be the principal unit of measurement.
Strategic Thinking on Electric Transmission in the Age of AI
AI–fueled electric demand growth will require the U.S. power sector to grow by upwards of 20 percent in the coming decade, writes Cy McGeady, making ensuring this growth a strategic national interest of the United States.
Immigration Policy Solutions to Shortages in Critical Sectors of the U.S. Economy
Labor shortages will affect the affordability of American necessities, including housing, medical care, and groceries. Changes to U.S. immigration policy are the most effective pathways to mitigate the issue, write Thibault Denamiel, Bill Reinsch, Jason Schenker, and Dhari Al-Saleh.
India’s Undeniable Economic Heft and American Economic Security
As the United States seeks to strengthen an economic firewall against Chinese technology dominance, India is arguably the most significant country it must proactively engage, writes Rick Rossow.
Podcasts

Executive Order on AI and Energy Infrastructure - Emergency Podcast
Listen to the latest episode of the AI Policy Podcast, where Director Greg Allen, H. Andrew Schwartz, and CSIS Energy Security and Climate Change Program Director Joseph Majkut discuss the Biden administration's Executive Order on Advancing United States Leadership in Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure. They consider the motivation for this measure and its primary goals, its reception among AI and hyperscaler companies, and how the Trump administration might approach AI and energy.
China's Shots Across the Bow, Nippon Steel Woes, and the H1-B Debate
Check out this week's episode of the Trade Guys, as Bill Reinsch and Scott Miller look at recent Chinese export controls on critical minerals, President Biden's blocking of the Nippon Steel acquisition of U.S. Steel, and the controversy surrounding H1-B visas.
The Transition: Making American Nuclear Great Again
As demand for clean, reliable power grows in the U.S. and around the globe, nuclear energy is taking center stage. Listen to this episode of Energy 360 to hear our experts assess how the incoming Trump administration might shape the future of this critical technology.