Latest Analysis: War with Iran

Amid the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, CSIS experts examine the military, diplomatic, and geopolitical implications of a conflict that continues to reshape the Middle East and beyond.

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Photo: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Photo: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Preventing Iran’s Military Reconstitution

Iran’s ability to reconstitute its military depends on its ability to import key materials and equipment. With the UAE’s role as Iran’s central reexport hub up in the air, policymakers have a narrow window to identify and disrupt new procurement routes as they take shape. 

Report by CSIS Scholars — June 23, 2026

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Photo: Punit PARANJPE/AFP/Getty Images

Geopolitical Implications of the War with Iran

Experts from the CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department analyze how the war with Iran is reshaping geopolitics across Africa, Asia, Australia and the Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East

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Featured Videos

Will Israel Abide by the Ceasefire?

Rebuilding the U.S. Missile Inventory

Trump’s Iran War Options

Iran War Fueling a New Wave of Repression | Asked & Answered

What Does China Really Think About the Iran War? | The High Top

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Experts

Seth G. Jones

Seth G. Jones

President, Defense and Security Department; Harold Brown Chair
Daniel Byman

Daniel Byman

Director, Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program
Emily Harding

Emily Harding

Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
Benjamin Jensen

Benjamin Jensen

Director, Futures Lab and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Jon Alterman

Jon B. Alterman

Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy
Will Todman

Will Todman

Chief of Staff, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department; and Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Williams

Heather Williams

Director, Project on Nuclear Issues and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Joseph Rodgers

Joseph Rodgers

Deputy Director and Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues

All Latest Analysis: War with Iran Content

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Trump's Smart Iran Exit

Jon Alterman argues in the Times of India that Trump was right to end the Iran war, not because the U.S. won, but because the conflict exposed the limits of military power, reshaped U.S.-Israel ties, and showed the value of diplomacy and partners like India.

Commentary by Jon B. Alterman — June 26, 2026

Preventing Iran’s Military Reconstitution

Iran’s ability to reconstitute its military depends on its ability to import key materials and equipment. With the UAE’s role as Iran’s central reexport hub up in the air, policymakers have a narrow window to identify and disrupt new procurement routes as they take shape. 

Report by CSIS Scholars — June 23, 2026

The War May Be Ending. What Did Epic Fury Cost?

Iran war costs are estimated to be between $34 billion and $42 billion. As neither the FY 2026 defense budget nor the FY 2027 budget request includes war costs, Congress faces a major battle over paying for the war.

Report by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — June 23, 2026

G7 Critical Minerals Ambitions and Iran's Natural Resources

As G7 leaders discussed critical minerals coordination and strategies to de-risk supply chains, a U.S.-Iran deal opens the possibility for investment in Iran’s untapped copper as a new frontier for critical mineral investment.

Critical Questions by Gracelin Baskaran and Meredith Schwartz — June 18, 2026

Iran Won the Negotiation, Even Though It Lost the War

The full text of the framework agreement with Iran is now public, and it is lopsided. Iran gets most of what it wants, and it gets it up front—before negotiations on a final deal even start. The United States gets very little. Israel gets even less.

Commentary by Emily Harding — June 18, 2026

Subsidies, Stockpiles, and Shortages

This installment of Charting the Middle East spotlights regional government responses to the Iran war’s widening impacts.

Newsletter by Josiane Atallah — June 18, 2026

Everyone Lost the War With Iran

Will Todman in Foreign Policy unpacks how months of fighting revealed that multiple countries can impose costs, but none can impose order.

Commentary by Will Todman — June 16, 2026