Riley McCabe

Program Manager and Research Associate, Transnational Threats Project
Riley McCabe

Riley McCabe is a program manager and research associate for the Transnational Threats Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). His research focuses on military operations, emerging technologies, and the irregular warfare activities of countries such as Russia and China. Riley has previously supported the work of the intelligence fellow, the fellow for future war, gaming, and strategy, and the Risk and Foresight Group at CSIS. He holds a BA from Occidental College in diplomacy and world affairs.

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China's Strategy of Political Warfare

China is conducting an aggressive and unprecedented campaign below the threshold of armed conflict to expand the influence of the Chinese Communist Party and weaken the United States and its partners.

Report by Seth G. Jones Emily Harding Catrina Doxsee Jake Harrington and Riley McCabe — August 2, 2023

The Impact of the Kakhovka Dam Breach on the New Ukrainian Counteroffensive

The Kakhovka Dam breach will not stop a Ukrainian offensive across the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast this summer, but it will delay such an operation and complicate the task that lies before Ukraine to dislodge Russian forces from fortified positions across the front.

Commentary by Riley McCabe Alexander Palmer and Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. — June 16, 2023

Russian and Ukrainian Force Disposition

Explore CSIS’s interactive map of the war in Ukraine. See how the force disposition and front lines in Ukraine have changed over time.

Digital Report by Seth G. Jones Riley McCabe and Alexander Palmer — March 3, 2023

Ukrainian Innovation in a War of Attrition

Russia suffered more combat deaths in Ukraine in the first year of the war than in all of its wars combined since World War II. The average rate of Russian soldiers killed per month in Ukraine is 35 times greater than the number of Soviet soldiers killed in Afghanistan.

Brief by Seth G. Jones Riley McCabe and Alexander Palmer — February 27, 2023

What If . . . Alternatives to a Chinese Military Invasion of Taiwan

Using historical cases, this report explores alternative future scenarios outlining strategies of coercion China could employ against Taiwan short of full-scale invasion. The scenarios show the need for new escalation management frameworks linked to integrated deterrence.

Report by Benjamin Jensen Riley McCabe and Adrian Bogart — October 7, 2022

Mapping Ukraine’s Military Advances

New CSIS battlefield maps indicate Ukrainian forces have—thus far—conducted an effective counterattack that has reconquered roughly 3,700 square miles, slightly smaller than the state of Connecticut.

Commentary by Seth G. Jones Jared Thompson and Riley McCabe — September 22, 2022

The Case for Cooperation: The Future of the U.S.-UK Intelligence Alliance

Over the past 75 years, the United States and the United Kingdom have built the deepest intelligence alliance in the world. To prepare for the challenges of the future, the U.S. and UK intelligence communities must continue to pursue robust interoperability.

Brief by Jake Harrington and Riley McCabe — March 15, 2022

Detect and Understand: Modernizing Intelligence for the Gray Zone

Gray zone activities are designed to evade detection or to frustrate intelligence efforts to attribute blame, quantify risk, and inform responses. To succeed in the gray zone, U.S. intelligence must rededicate itself to detecting and understanding these complex threats.

Brief by Jake Harrington and Riley McCabe — December 7, 2021

Back to (Caring about) the Future

U.S. lawmakers and their staff will need to improve their use of foresight to ensure long-term national prosperity and security. In response, CSIS’s International Security Program and Congressional Affairs team partnered to create the Congressional Foresight Initiative.

Report by Riley McCabe Madeline Clough Elizabeth Hoffman and Erol Yayboke — September 29, 2021