Latest Analysis: War with Iran

Amid the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, CSIS experts examine the military, diplomatic, and geopolitical implications of a conflict that continues to reshape the Middle East and beyond.

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Photo: Mark Thompson/Getty Images

Photo: Mark Thompson/Getty Images

Formula 1 on the Front Lines

Hosting F1 races was supposed to showcase the Gulf's post-oil future. Instead, the Iran war canceled two Grand Prix races and two more are under threat. What does this mean for the future of hosting major global events in contested regions?

Commentary by Emily Harding and Cynthia R. Cook — July 9, 2026

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Photo: Punit PARANJPE/AFP/Getty Images

Geopolitical Implications of the War with Iran

Experts from the CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department analyze how the war with Iran is reshaping geopolitics across Africa, Asia, Australia and the Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East

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Featured Videos

How the U.S. Can Stop Iran From Rearming

Escalation in Iran

A New Phase in the Iran War?

Rebuilding the U.S. Missile Inventory

Why Trust Does Not Matter in U.S.-Iran Negotiations

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Experts

Seth G. Jones

Seth G. Jones

President, Defense and Security Department; Harold Brown Chair
Daniel Byman

Daniel Byman

Director, Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program
Emily Harding

Emily Harding

Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
Benjamin Jensen

Benjamin Jensen

Director, Futures Lab and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Jon Alterman

Jon B. Alterman

Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy
Will Todman

Will Todman

Chief of Staff, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department; and Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Williams

Heather Williams

Director, Project on Nuclear Issues and Senior Fellow, Defense and Security Department
Joseph Rodgers

Joseph Rodgers

Deputy Director and Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues

All Latest Analysis: War with Iran Content

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Is the Iran War Entering a Dangerous New Phase?

Escalating U.S.-Iran strikes are widening the conflict beyond the Strait of Hormuz, threatening Gulf infrastructure, regional stability, and global energy security. Yet behind the fighting, mediators are searching for an off-ramp before the crisis spirals further.

Commentary by Mona Yacoubian — July 20, 2026

What the Iran War Is Costing Joint Gulf-U.S. Ambitions for AI

For decades, Gulf states invested trillions into the U.S. economy, tied their security to Washington, and bet that alignment was the price of protection. The Iran war raised a clear question: Was alignment the cause of the threat, rather than the cure for it?

Commentary by Joseph A. Farsakh — July 15, 2026

Beyond Oil: Vision 2030 at Ten

This installment of Charting the Middle East explores the progress Saudi Arabia has made in diversifying its economy 10 years after the launch of Vision 2030.

Newsletter by Michael Ratney — July 15, 2026

What the Iran War Revealed About U.S. Power | The High Top

How has the U.S.-Iran war changed the way the world views American power? Jon Alterman and Charles Edel discuss shifting views among allies and the Global South, the fraying post-1945 order, and the challenge of building a more durable allied strategy.

Event — July 14, 2026

Understanding Russia-Iran Collaboration in Cyberspace

Cyber collaboration between Russia and Iran in the U.S.-Iran conflict has been overstated based on currently cited evidence. While cross-border cyber cooperation is happening in some areas, the Russia-Iran cyber reality is much thornier and much trickier to interpret than some headlines suggest.

Commentary by Nikita Shah and Justin Sherman — July 14, 2026

War Costs Make Up a Third of the $87.6 Billion Supplemental Request

About one-third of the Trump administration’s $87.6 billion supplemental request is driven by costs related to the Iran war. The remainder funds other administration priorities, both defense and domestic. Some war costs will have to be covered by other budget mechanisms.

Commentary by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — July 13, 2026

Formula 1 on the Front Lines

Hosting F1 races was supposed to showcase the Gulf's post-oil future. Instead, the Iran war canceled two Grand Prix races and two more are under threat. What does this mean for the future of hosting major global events in contested regions?

Commentary by Emily Harding and Cynthia R. Cook — July 9, 2026